Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,731.52
Current Value
$12,698.84
Period P&L
$1,967.30
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
+1.32%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,886.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,967.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,967.30
Gross Return
+18.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,731.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $109.14 101 $11,023.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $105.31 101 $10,636.31 $10,721.94 $-386.83
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $105.63 101 $10,668.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:35am ET $111.02 101 $11,213.02 $11,266.83 +$544.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $108.88 103 $11,214.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $115.09 103 $11,854.27 $11,906.97 +$640.14
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.35 102 $11,867.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET $122.33 102 $12,477.66 $12,516.93 +$609.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:30am ET $119.88 104 $12,467.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $116.27 104 $12,092.08 $12,141.49 $-375.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:45am ET $118.16 102 $12,052.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET $124.07 102 $12,655.14 $12,744.31 +$602.82
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET $125.14 101 $12,639.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $131.61 101 $13,292.61 $13,397.78 +$653.47
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $134.80 99 $13,345.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $130.09 99 $12,878.91 $12,931.49 $-466.29
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.20 99 $12,889.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $137.01 99 $13,563.99 $13,605.68 +$674.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $136.40 99 $13,503.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $131.19 99 $12,987.78 $13,089.86 $-515.82
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $132.43 98 $12,977.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET $128.43 98 $12,586.63 $12,698.84 $-391.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,698.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,698.84
Total Return: +26.99%
Back to Marcus Reversal