Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:01:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 28.8/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,178.65
Current Value
$13,851.74
Period P&L
$-1,326.89
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.60%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.47%
Avg Hold Time
11.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,029.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,326.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,326.89
Gross Return
-8.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,178.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $960.80 15 $14,412.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $931.38 15 $13,970.70 $14,696.01 $-441.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $942.20 15 $14,133.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET $913.42 15 $13,701.30 $14,264.31 $-431.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $923.51 15 $13,852.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $975.21 15 $14,628.15 $15,039.89 +$775.58
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $973.91 15 $14,608.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $940.42 15 $14,106.30 $14,537.47 $-502.42
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $950.58 15 $14,258.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:40am ET $934.37 15 $14,015.55 $14,294.39 $-243.08
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $926.19 15 $13,892.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $896.68 15 $13,450.20 $13,851.74 $-442.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,851.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,851.74
Total Return: +38.52%
Back to Marcus Reversal