Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 74.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 68.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$30,655.72
Current Value
$27,785.70
Period P&L
$-2,870.05
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-6.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.86%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$528,690.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,870.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,870.05
Gross Return
-9.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $30,655.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $119.32 253 $30,186.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $114.93 253 $29,077.29 $29,176.96 $-1,109.41
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.62 248 $29,169.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $113.99 248 $28,269.52 $28,276.72 $-900.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.46 247 $28,271.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET $120.20 247 $29,689.40 $29,694.50 +$1,417.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $119.35 248 $29,598.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.15 248 $28,557.20 $28,652.90 $-1,041.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $110.47 259 $28,611.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $116.28 259 $30,116.52 $30,157.69 +$1,504.79
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $114.56 263 $30,127.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $120.45 263 $31,678.35 $31,708.07 +$1,550.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $121.58 260 $31,610.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $113.35 260 $29,471.00 $29,568.27 $-2,139.80
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:30am ET $111.60 264 $29,462.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $108.14 264 $28,548.96 $28,654.83 $-913.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET $109.41 261 $28,556.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $106.08 261 $27,686.88 $27,785.70 $-869.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,785.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,785.70
Total Return: +177.86%
Back to Marcus Reversal