Compendium › Marcus Reversal › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 24 trades in period

-7.31%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,635.83
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$7,159.43
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:29:14

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-9.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,159.43
Current Value
$6,635.83
Period P&L
$-523.58
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
8 / 16
Best Trade
+6.57%
Worst Trade
-4.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$346,665.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-523.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-523.58
Gross Return
-7.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,159.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $24.51 299 $7,329.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 299 $7,011.55 $7,018.88 $-318.43
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $22.89 306 $7,002.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 306 $6,762.60 $6,778.67 $-240.21
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $21.25 318 $6,757.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $20.58 318 $6,546.03 $6,567.20 $-211.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $21.18 309 $6,546.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 309 $6,896.88 $6,917.92 +$350.72
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $22.74 304 $6,912.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $23.91 304 $7,267.12 $7,272.08 +$354.16
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $22.70 320 $7,264.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $22.01 320 $7,043.20 $7,051.28 $-220.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $22.58 312 $7,046.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $23.73 312 $7,402.20 $7,406.96 +$355.68
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.50 315 $7,402.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.68 315 $7,145.77 $7,150.23 $-256.73
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 308 $7,139.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $22.40 308 $6,898.43 $6,909.22 $-241.01
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $22.17 311 $6,894.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.39 311 $7,274.32 $7,288.67 +$379.45
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.54 309 $7,273.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $22.83 309 $7,052.93 $7,067.73 $-220.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $22.91 308 $7,054.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.22 308 $7,459.76 $7,472.75 +$405.02
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $24.81 301 $7,467.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 301 $7,958.44 $7,963.38 +$490.63
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $24.88 320 $7,961.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 320 $7,686.40 $7,688.18 $-275.20
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $24.58 312 $7,668.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:55am ET $25.87 312 $8,071.44 $8,090.66 +$402.48
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:15am ET $25.55 316 $8,073.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $24.78 316 $7,830.48 $7,847.34 $-243.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $25.81 304 $7,846.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $24.98 304 $7,592.40 $7,593.50 $-253.84
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.39 311 $7,583.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $23.64 311 $7,351.73 $7,361.49 $-232.01
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 284 $7,352.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.00 284 $7,100.00 $7,108.73 $-252.76
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.56 278 $7,105.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $24.78 278 $6,888.84 $6,891.89 $-216.84
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $26.63 258 $6,870.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 258 $7,267.34 $7,288.69 +$396.80
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:10am ET $29.47 247 $7,277.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.52 247 $7,044.44 $7,055.28 $-233.41
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $28.45 247 $7,027.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 247 $6,815.96 $6,844.09 $-211.19
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 267 $6,821.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 267 $6,613.59 $6,635.83 $-208.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,635.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,364.17
Total Return: -33.64%
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