DOTUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 27 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 21, 2025 | $99.18 | 568 | $6,916.81 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $2,041.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.24 | 1,649 | $2,051.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $1.15 | 1,649 | $1,896.64 | $1,886.77 |
$-164.90 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $1.13 | 1,667 | $1,886.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $1.20 | 1,667 | $1,998.44 | $1,988.72 |
+$101.96 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10pm ET | $1.23 | 1,616 | $1,988.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $1.30 | 1,616 | $2,092.12 | $2,081.92 |
+$93.19 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $1.27 | 1,643 | $2,081.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:20am ET | $1.33 | 1,643 | $2,187.08 | $2,176.41 |
+$94.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.36 | 1,596 | $2,176.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET | $1.32 | 1,596 | $2,110.99 | $2,100.27 |
$-76.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 8:40am ET | $1.34 | 1,567 | $2,100.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 4:35am ET | $1.30 | 1,567 | $2,032.67 | $2,022.34 |
$-77.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 4:45am ET | $1.30 | 1,558 | $2,022.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $1.30 | 1,558 | $2,023.02 | $2,012.91 |
$-9.43 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:55am ET | $1.30 | 1,554 | $2,012.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:50pm ET | $1.25 | 1,554 | $1,949.96 | $1,949.96 |
$-72.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:30am ET | $1.36 | 1,429 | $1,949.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1.32 | 1,429 | $1,884.16 | $1,884.16 |
$-75.39 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.32 | 1,426 | $1,884.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 8:05am ET | $1.28 | 1,426 | $1,825.56 | $1,825.56 |
$-67.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.32 | 1,426 | $1,884.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 8:45am ET | $1.27 | 1,426 | $1,816.00 | $1,757.40 |
$-77.41 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET | $1.27 | 1,384 | $1,757.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.34 | 1,384 | $1,848.90 | $1,848.90 |
+$82.49 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.32 | 1,397 | $1,848.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2026 4:30am ET | $1.39 | 1,397 | $1,942.92 | $1,942.92 |
+$84.54 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2026 7:45am ET | $1.38 | 1,413 | $1,942.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 3:30am ET | $1.33 | 1,413 | $1,884.01 | $1,884.01 |
$-68.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 3:35am ET | $1.33 | 1,416 | $1,884.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:00pm ET | $1.29 | 1,416 | $1,826.53 | $1,826.53 |
$-66.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:05pm ET | $1.27 | 1,437 | $1,826.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:05am ET | $1.23 | 1,437 | $1,768.75 | $1,768.75 |
$-66.77 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $1.25 | 1,412 | $1,768.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 5:15am ET | $1.33 | 1,412 | $1,876.94 | $1,876.94 |
+$99.08 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 5:55pm ET | $1.65 | 1,136 | $1,876.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:10am ET | $1.59 | 1,136 | $1,811.38 | $1,811.38 |
$-74.78 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:15am ET | $1.60 | 1,135 | $1,811.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.54 | 1,135 | $1,745.11 | $1,745.11 |
$-75.16 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.54 | 1,134 | $1,745.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:30pm ET | $1.62 | 1,134 | $1,833.60 | $1,833.60 |
+$79.54 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:00am ET | $1.62 | 1,129 | $1,833.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 6:20am ET | $1.57 | 1,129 | $1,777.61 | $1,777.61 |
$-65.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $1.57 | 1,129 | $1,777.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $1.53 | 1,129 | $1,722.27 | $1,722.27 |
$-64.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET | $1.49 | 1,154 | $1,722.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.60 | 1,154 | $1,841.78 | $1,841.78 |
+$110.60 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 8:10pm ET | $1.63 | 1,132 | $1,841.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 4:00am ET | $1.58 | 1,132 | $1,785.75 | $1,785.75 |
$-65.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 4:50am ET | $1.58 | 1,134 | $1,785.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1.53 | 1,134 | $1,730.42 | $1,730.42 |
$-64.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.53 | 1,134 | $1,730.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 5:10am ET | $1.48 | 1,134 | $1,677.93 | $1,677.93 |
$-61.01 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 5:15am ET | $1.48 | 1,132 | $1,677.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 4:00am ET | $1.56 | 1,132 | $1,767.45 | $1,767.45 |
+$80.91 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)