Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:26:27

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,056.67
Current Value
$8,412.83
Period P&L
$-643.84
Max Drawdown
-19.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,129.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-643.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-643.84
Gross Return
-7.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,056.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET $325.53 27 $8,789.31
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $315.74 27 $8,524.98 $8,816.24 $-264.33
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $335.02 26 $8,710.65
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $352.00 26 $9,152.00 $9,257.59 +$441.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:45am ET $340.91 27 $9,204.57
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $330.61 27 $8,926.34 $8,979.36 $-278.23
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $320.92 27 $8,664.71
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $310.71 27 $8,389.17 $8,703.82 $-275.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:40am ET $323.10 26 $8,400.60
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $313.26 26 $8,144.76 $8,447.98 $-255.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $311.00 27 $8,397.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:20am ET $301.06 27 $8,128.62 $8,179.60 $-268.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $303.38 26 $7,887.88
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $291.12 26 $7,569.12 $7,860.84 $-318.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $306.00 25 $7,650.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:25am ET $321.33 25 $8,033.37 $8,244.21 +$383.37
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $319.93 25 $7,998.37
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $309.35 25 $7,733.75 $7,979.58 $-264.63
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $307.82 25 $7,695.50
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $325.15 25 $8,128.75 $8,412.83 +$433.25
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,412.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,587.17
Total Return: -15.87%
Back to Marcus Reversal