Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:27:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.6/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 37.6/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 35.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-8.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,850.31
Current Value
$16,347.59
Period P&L
$-1,502.74
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+6.54%
Worst Trade
-8.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$504,265.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,502.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,502.74
Gross Return
-8.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,850.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:00am ET $246.75 73 $18,012.93
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $238.76 73 $17,429.48 $17,464.52 $-583.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $238.40 73 $17,403.56
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.16 73 $16,874.68 $16,935.64 $-528.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:30am ET $239.79 70 $16,784.95
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $255.46 70 $17,882.20 $18,032.89 +$1,097.25
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET $253.63 71 $18,007.73
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 71 $16,388.22 $16,413.38 $-1,619.51
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $227.53 72 $16,382.16
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:50am ET $220.52 72 $15,877.44 $15,908.66 $-504.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:05am ET $212.60 74 $15,732.40
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $225.50 74 $16,687.00 $16,863.26 +$954.60
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $221.26 76 $16,815.95
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $234.90 76 $17,852.02 $17,899.33 +$1,036.07
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:40am ET $256.96 69 $17,730.03
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 69 $17,055.59 $17,224.88 $-674.45
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:25am ET $265.12 64 $16,967.68
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $278.78 64 $17,841.92 $18,099.12 +$874.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 57 $18,076.13
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $307.36 57 $17,519.24 $17,542.23 $-556.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $302.88 57 $17,264.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $291.62 57 $16,622.34 $16,900.41 $-641.82
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $283.10 59 $16,702.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $273.80 59 $16,154.21 $16,351.72 $-548.69
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $274.18 59 $16,176.62
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 59 $15,665.68 $15,840.78 $-510.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $270.61 58 $15,695.38
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $262.40 58 $15,219.49 $15,364.89 $-475.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET $245.65 62 $15,230.30
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $261.50 62 $16,213.00 $16,347.59 +$982.70
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,347.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,347.59
Total Return: +63.48%
Back to Marcus Reversal