Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

34
+11.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.9 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,593.16
Current Value
$11,690.88
Period P&L
$-902.29
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
9 / 16
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-6.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$537,984.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-902.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-902.29
Gross Return
-7.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,593.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $130.02 96 $12,481.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $125.91 96 $12,087.35 $12,198.60 $-394.57
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.32 86 $12,067.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $134.87 86 $11,598.39 $11,729.04 $-469.56
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $124.30 94 $11,684.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $120.52 94 $11,328.88 $11,373.72 $-355.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $123.04 92 $11,319.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $116.03 92 $10,674.30 $10,728.34 $-645.38
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:35am ET $107.68 99 $10,660.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $114.99 99 $11,384.01 $11,452.03 +$723.69
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $108.80 105 $11,424.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $105.50 105 $11,077.50 $11,105.53 $-346.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $104.71 106 $11,099.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:15am ET $101.51 106 $10,760.59 $10,766.86 $-338.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:15am ET $98.75 109 $10,763.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $95.65 109 $10,425.86 $10,429.52 $-337.34
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $95.53 109 $10,412.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $100.88 109 $10,996.21 $11,012.92 +$583.40
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $101.73 108 $10,986.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $97.78 108 $10,560.24 $10,586.32 $-426.60
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $89.10 118 $10,513.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $85.95 118 $10,142.10 $10,214.62 $-371.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $83.55 122 $10,193.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $89.28 122 $10,892.16 $10,913.68 +$699.06
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET $93.09 117 $10,891.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $88.37 117 $10,339.29 $10,361.44 $-552.24
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $98.97 104 $10,293.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $105.57 104 $10,979.62 $11,047.66 +$686.22
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $102.78 107 $10,997.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $98.99 107 $10,591.40 $10,641.17 $-406.49
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $93.97 113 $10,618.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $91.02 113 $10,284.84 $10,307.40 $-333.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $91.38 112 $10,234.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $88.60 112 $9,923.20 $9,996.04 $-311.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:50am ET $88.28 113 $9,975.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $92.95 113 $10,503.35 $10,524.31 +$528.27
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET $89.83 117 $10,510.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $86.91 117 $10,168.47 $10,182.09 $-342.22
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $89.67 113 $10,132.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET $94.84 113 $10,716.92 $10,766.30 +$584.21
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $104.93 102 $10,703.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $101.64 102 $10,367.79 $10,430.72 $-335.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $102.38 101 $10,340.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $95.90 101 $9,685.90 $9,776.24 $-654.48
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $98.28 99 $9,729.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.00 99 $10,394.84 $10,441.16 +$664.92
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $109.33 95 $10,386.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $116.57 95 $11,074.15 $11,128.96 +$687.80
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $121.12 91 $11,021.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $127.29 91 $11,583.84 $11,690.88 +$561.92
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,690.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,690.88
Total Return: +16.91%
Back to Marcus Reversal