Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.6/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 47.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 44.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,379.47
Current Value
$19,867.20
Period P&L
$487.74
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
16.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$203,634.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$487.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$487.74
Gross Return
+2.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,379.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $328.87 58 $19,074.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $347.57 58 $20,158.77 $20,248.01 +$1,084.31
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $343.26 58 $19,909.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $360.87 58 $20,930.46 $21,269.39 +$1,021.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET $359.40 59 $21,204.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $357.19 59 $21,074.21 $21,139.00 $-130.39
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $355.43 59 $20,970.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET $344.57 59 $20,329.61 $20,498.24 $-640.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $350.12 58 $20,306.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $339.24 58 $19,675.92 $19,867.20 $-631.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,867.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,867.20
Total Return: +98.67%
Back to Marcus Reversal