LCID Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 30 trades in period
-18.13%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,107.17
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$13,567.42
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-9.1%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,567.42
Current Value
$11,107.17
Period P&L
$-2,460.22
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
10 /
20
Best Trade
+6.38%
Worst Trade
-4.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$754,988.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,460.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,460.22
Gross Return
-18.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,567.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.10 | 1,319 | $13,328.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.75 | 1,319 | $14,179.25 | $14,187.32 |
+$850.76 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.35 | 1,370 | $14,179.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $9.98 | 1,370 | $13,672.60 | $13,680.42 |
$-506.90 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.61 | 1,423 | $13,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.31 | 1,423 | $13,255.24 | $13,257.36 |
$-423.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.58 | 1,383 | $13,249.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 1,383 | $12,848.07 | $12,856.29 |
$-401.07 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.73 | 1,472 | $12,850.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 1,472 | $13,597.90 | $13,603.63 |
+$747.34 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.74 | 1,556 | $13,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,556 | $13,151.31 | $13,155.50 |
$-448.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.78 | 1,497 | $13,151.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.52 | 1,497 | $12,746.96 | $12,751.31 |
$-404.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.98 | 1,597 | $12,744.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $7.71 | 1,597 | $12,312.87 | $12,319.96 |
$-431.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.68 | 1,604 | $12,318.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $7.40 | 1,604 | $11,869.76 | $11,871.00 |
$-448.96 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.87 | 1,727 | $11,864.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,727 | $12,494.85 | $12,501.36 |
+$630.36 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,802 | $12,496.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,802 | $12,000.78 | $12,005.27 |
$-496.09 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $6.33 | 1,896 | $12,001.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 1,896 | $11,507.20 | $11,510.98 |
$-494.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.95 | 1,933 | $11,506.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.76 | 1,933 | $11,134.08 | $11,138.88 |
$-372.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $6.07 | 1,833 | $11,135.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.39 | 1,833 | $11,712.69 | $11,716.09 |
+$577.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $6.59 | 1,779 | $11,714.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.37 | 1,779 | $11,332.05 | $11,333.43 |
$-382.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.97 | 1,899 | $11,327.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.28 | 1,899 | $11,916.23 | $11,922.12 |
+$588.69 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $5.86 | 2,034 | $11,919.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $6.21 | 2,034 | $12,631.14 | $12,634.02 |
+$711.90 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $6.34 | 1,991 | $12,629.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,991 | $12,005.73 | $12,010.64 |
$-623.38 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.89 | 2,040 | $12,005.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.70 | 2,040 | $11,617.80 | $11,623.04 |
$-387.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:40pm ET | $5.60 | 2,075 | $11,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $5.88 | 2,075 | $12,209.30 | $12,212.34 |
+$589.30 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $5.86 | 2,084 | $12,212.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.22 | 2,084 | $12,972.90 | $12,973.00 |
+$760.66 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $6.07 | 2,135 | $12,970.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.38 | 2,135 | $13,621.30 | $13,624.18 |
+$651.18 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $6.53 | 2,086 | $13,621.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $6.87 | 2,086 | $14,330.82 | $14,333.21 |
+$709.03 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $6.63 | 2,163 | $14,329.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $6.41 | 2,163 | $13,875.64 | $13,878.98 |
$-454.23 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $5.80 | 2,392 | $13,873.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.62 | 2,392 | $13,443.04 | $13,448.42 |
$-430.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.15 | 2,613 | $13,446.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.95 | 2,613 | $12,947.41 | $12,949.34 |
$-499.08 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.69 | 2,761 | $12,948.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $4.48 | 2,761 | $12,369.28 | $12,370.36 |
$-578.98 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $5.16 | 2,397 | $12,368.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $5.01 | 2,397 | $11,996.99 | $11,998.83 |
$-371.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $5.34 | 2,244 | $11,994.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.14 | 2,244 | $11,522.94 | $11,527.59 |
$-471.24 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $5.34 | 2,156 | $11,523.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.15 | 2,156 | $11,103.40 | $11,107.17 |
$-420.42 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,107.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,107.17
Total Return:
+11.07%