Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:26:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,968.95
Current Value
$8,124.77
Period P&L
$-2,844.15
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
9 / 21
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-8.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.94%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$581,721.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,844.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,844.15
Gross Return
-25.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,968.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET $5.22 2,127 $11,102.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $5.53 2,127 $11,751.68 $11,755.91 +$648.74
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET $6.43 1,829 $11,751.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.79 1,829 $12,418.91 $12,423.49 +$667.58
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $6.60 1,882 $12,421.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $6.36 1,882 $11,969.52 $11,971.81 $-451.68
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.39 1,873 $11,968.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $6.16 1,873 $11,528.32 $11,531.66 $-440.15
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $5.93 1,944 $11,527.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $5.67 1,944 $11,030.26 $11,034.00 $-497.66
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:50am ET $5.72 1,927 $11,032.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.55 1,927 $10,685.22 $10,687.14 $-346.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET $5.55 1,925 $10,683.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.08 1,925 $9,779.00 $9,782.58 $-904.56
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $6.53 1,498 $9,781.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $6.29 1,498 $9,422.42 $9,423.06 $-359.52
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $7.09 1,328 $9,422.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $7.47 1,328 $9,926.80 $9,927.70 +$504.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET $7.35 1,350 $9,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $7.13 1,350 $9,625.36 $9,628.68 $-299.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $6.24 1,544 $9,626.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,544 $10,259.88 $10,261.72 +$633.04
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $6.34 1,618 $10,258.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET $6.71 1,618 $10,856.78 $10,860.38 +$598.66
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET $7.76 1,399 $10,856.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $7.50 1,399 $10,491.94 $10,496.22 $-364.16
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $7.50 1,399 $10,493.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $7.88 1,399 $11,024.12 $11,027.28 +$531.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:55am ET $7.03 1,568 $11,023.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $6.66 1,568 $10,450.72 $10,454.33 $-572.95
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:55am ET $6.62 1,579 $10,452.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $6.41 1,579 $10,129.28 $10,130.64 $-323.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET $6.43 1,574 $10,128.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $6.24 1,574 $9,821.76 $9,823.71 $-306.93
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $6.03 1,627 $9,818.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $5.84 1,627 $9,509.81 $9,514.58 $-309.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET $5.81 1,637 $9,510.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $5.61 1,637 $9,175.39 $9,179.81 $-334.77
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.55 1,655 $9,176.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $5.35 1,655 $8,854.25 $8,857.08 $-322.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.21 1,698 $8,854.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $5.03 1,698 $8,540.94 $8,543.46 $-313.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.18 1,650 $8,538.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $5.01 1,650 $8,267.32 $8,272.03 $-271.43
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $4.84 1,707 $8,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $4.68 1,707 $7,988.76 $7,990.38 $-281.65
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $4.52 1,767 $7,986.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.76 1,767 $8,410.92 $8,414.46 +$424.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.64 1,815 $8,412.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 1,815 $8,149.35 $8,151.28 $-263.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.68 1,739 $8,147.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $4.53 1,739 $7,868.98 $7,873.04 $-278.24
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $4.31 1,826 $7,870.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.16 1,826 $7,596.16 $7,599.14 $-273.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $4.04 1,880 $7,595.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $4.24 1,880 $7,980.60 $7,984.54 +$385.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $4.27 1,870 $7,981.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $4.14 1,870 $7,732.45 $7,735.27 $-249.27
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $4.07 1,900 $7,733.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.28 1,900 $8,122.50 $8,124.77 +$389.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,124.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,875.23
Total Return: -18.75%
Back to Marcus Reversal