Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 02:48:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.3/10
Raw Quality 2.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-15.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$441.81
Current Value
$399.98
Period P&L
$-131.27
Max Drawdown
-95.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$20,693.27
Estimated Fees
$51.73
Gross P&L
$-131.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-183.00
Gross Return
-29.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-41.42%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $441.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 4:15am ET $54.27 9 $487.84
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $52.44 9 $471.39 $471.39 $-18.85
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:55pm ET $52.79 9 $471.39
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $55.48 9 $495.41 $495.41 +$21.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:55pm ET $55.10 9 $495.41
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 7:35pm ET $53.42 9 $480.30 $480.30 $-17.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 7:45pm ET $53.45 9 $480.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $56.19 9 $504.92 $504.92 +$22.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $55.99 9 $504.92
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:20pm ET $54.28 9 $489.50 $489.50 $-17.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:25pm ET $54.16 9 $489.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $56.87 9 $513.99 $513.99 +$21.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 7:10am ET $56.94 9 $513.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $55.21 9 $498.37 $498.37 $-18.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $55.18 9 $498.37
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.94 9 $523.30 $523.30 +$22.37
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.46 9 $523.30
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:25am ET $56.66 9 $507.19 $507.19 $-18.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $56.60 9 $507.19
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $54.52 9 $488.55 $488.55 $-21.13
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
11 🟢 BUY May 17, 2026 7:50pm ET $54.13 9 $488.55
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 7:50pm ET $52.45 9 $473.39 $473.39 $-17.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 8:00pm ET $52.62 9 $473.39
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55pm ET $50.96 9 $458.46 $458.46 $-17.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:00am ET $50.92 9 $458.46
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:05am ET $49.33 9 $444.14 $444.14 $-16.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:10am ET $49.46 9 $444.14
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $47.80 9 $429.23 $429.23 $-17.09
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $47.66 9 $429.23
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $45.84 9 $412.84 $412.84 $-18.50
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $45.86 9 $412.84
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $44.17 9 $397.63 $397.63 $-17.24
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $44.84 9 $397.63
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $43.07 9 $381.93 $381.93 $-17.64
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $43.21 9 $381.93
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $41.57 9 $367.43 $367.43 $-16.37
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $41.61 9 $367.43
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 5:25pm ET $43.71 9 $385.97 $385.97 +$16.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 6:20pm ET $43.33 9 $385.97
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.94 9 $373.59 $373.59 $-14.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $41.95 9 $373.59
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2026 11:40am ET $44.08 9 $392.56 $392.56 +$17.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $43.81 9 $392.56
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 6:35am ET $46.05 9 $412.63 $412.63 +$18.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 8:30am ET $45.65 9 $412.63
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:15am ET $44.25 9 $399.98 $399.98 $-14.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $399.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,600.02
Total Return: -96.00%
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