Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:10:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.1/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 68.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 67.2

30-Day Momentum

34
+8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.6 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$31,314.76
Current Value
$41,662.77
Period P&L
$10,348.05
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
12 / 11
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,800,220.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,348.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,348.05
Gross Return
+33.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $31,314.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $223.92 143 $32,020.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $235.34 143 $33,653.62 $33,812.93 +$1,633.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.45 139 $33,700.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $259.17 139 $36,025.32 $36,137.70 +$2,324.77
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:40am ET $261.84 138 $36,133.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $275.86 138 $38,068.68 $38,072.46 +$1,934.76
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $268.46 141 $37,853.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET $282.50 141 $39,832.50 $40,051.40 +$1,978.94
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:40am ET $277.33 144 $39,936.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $268.11 144 $38,607.84 $38,723.00 $-1,328.40
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $266.38 145 $38,625.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $280.06 145 $40,608.70 $40,706.60 +$1,983.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $275.70 147 $40,527.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $266.93 147 $39,239.44 $39,418.14 $-1,288.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $262.45 150 $39,367.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $251.92 150 $37,788.00 $37,838.64 $-1,579.50
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $264.89 142 $37,614.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $278.60 142 $39,560.49 $39,784.75 +$1,946.11
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET $277.36 143 $39,661.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET $291.23 143 $41,645.89 $41,768.88 +$1,984.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET $296.89 140 $41,563.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $283.55 140 $39,696.30 $39,901.28 $-1,867.60
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:40am ET $307.94 129 $39,724.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $298.49 129 $38,505.85 $38,682.87 $-1,218.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $297.76 129 $38,411.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $312.98 129 $40,374.42 $40,646.25 +$1,963.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $311.88 130 $40,544.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $327.61 130 $42,588.90 $42,690.75 +$2,044.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET $319.54 133 $42,498.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $307.49 133 $40,896.17 $41,088.76 $-1,601.99
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:45am ET $300.33 136 $40,845.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $290.86 136 $39,556.96 $39,800.16 $-1,288.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:55am ET $286.11 139 $39,769.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $277.07 139 $38,512.73 $38,543.60 $-1,256.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $287.05 134 $38,464.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:45am ET $278.15 134 $37,272.77 $37,352.34 $-1,191.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $285.20 130 $37,076.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $301.26 130 $39,163.15 $39,438.84 +$2,086.50
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:25am ET $300.70 131 $39,391.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:20am ET $290.78 131 $38,091.85 $38,139.24 $-1,299.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $275.80 138 $38,060.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $295.50 138 $40,779.00 $40,857.84 +$2,718.60
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $310.24 131 $40,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $326.36 131 $42,752.51 $42,968.91 +$2,111.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET $325.28 132 $42,936.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $315.39 132 $41,630.82 $41,662.77 $-1,306.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $41,662.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$31,662.77
Total Return: +316.63%
Back to Marcus Reversal