Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:29:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.6 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,974.34
Current Value
$18,106.48
Period P&L
$2,132.15
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$514,984.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,132.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,132.15
Gross Return
+13.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,974.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.74 316 $16,351.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET $50.18 316 $15,858.02 $15,861.71 $-493.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $49.81 318 $15,837.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:05am ET $47.97 318 $15,254.49 $15,278.21 $-583.50
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $48.44 315 $15,258.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.96 315 $16,052.40 $16,072.01 +$793.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $53.28 301 $16,038.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $56.04 301 $16,868.04 $16,901.27 +$829.26
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET $57.17 295 $16,865.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.45 295 $16,357.75 $16,393.87 $-507.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.99 303 $16,358.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.71 303 $17,183.13 $17,218.03 +$824.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.42 310 $17,181.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.69 310 $16,645.45 $16,681.73 $-536.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.45 300 $16,635.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET $58.35 300 $17,504.70 $17,551.43 +$869.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $59.26 296 $17,542.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET $57.48 296 $17,014.08 $17,023.07 $-528.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $58.37 291 $16,984.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $61.68 291 $17,948.88 $17,987.73 +$964.66
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $61.28 293 $17,955.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $59.31 293 $17,376.37 $17,409.06 $-578.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $57.75 301 $17,382.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $60.79 301 $18,297.79 $18,324.10 +$915.04
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $60.26 304 $18,320.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $63.33 304 $19,252.32 $19,255.86 +$931.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET $60.53 318 $19,248.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $58.69 318 $18,663.42 $18,670.74 $-585.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $58.85 317 $18,655.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.07 317 $18,091.19 $18,106.48 $-564.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,106.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,106.48
Total Return: +81.06%
Back to Marcus Reversal