Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,616.52
Current Value
$8,121.83
Period P&L
$-494.69
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.48%
Worst Trade
-4.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,041.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-494.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-494.69
Gross Return
-5.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,616.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:00am ET $142.40 60 $8,544.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $138.02 60 $8,281.50 $8,362.12 $-262.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
28.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $136.42 61 $8,321.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $143.61 61 $8,760.21 $8,800.71 +$438.59
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $142.74 61 $8,707.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $136.89 61 $8,350.29 $8,443.86 $-356.85
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $136.54 61 $8,328.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $144.02 61 $8,785.22 $8,900.14 +$456.28
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $144.50 61 $8,814.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $139.94 61 $8,536.34 $8,621.98 $-278.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $139.59 61 $8,514.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $140.96 61 $8,598.26 $8,705.25 +$83.27
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:00am ET $139.76 62 $8,665.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $134.87 62 $8,361.94 $8,402.07 $-303.18
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $135.10 62 $8,375.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $130.57 62 $8,095.65 $8,121.83 $-280.24
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,121.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,878.17
Total Return: -18.78%
Back to Marcus Reversal