Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.53%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,624.62
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,034.09
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:24:53

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,034.09
Current Value
$8,624.62
Period P&L
$-409.47
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+3.57%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-1.50%
Avg Hold Time
16.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$72,166.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-409.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-409.47
Gross Return
-4.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,034.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $153.04 59 $9,029.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $158.50 59 $9,351.50 $9,494.29 +$322.14
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $154.94 61 $9,451.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:10am ET $150.20 61 $9,162.20 $9,205.15 $-289.14
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $151.76 60 $9,105.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $146.77 60 $8,806.20 $8,905.75 $-299.40
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $148.65 59 $8,770.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $143.89 59 $8,489.51 $8,624.62 $-281.13
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,624.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,375.38
Total Return: -13.75%
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