Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,204.82
Current Value
$9,270.19
Period P&L
$1,065.37
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.91%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+2.54%
Avg Hold Time
15.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,753.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,065.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,065.37
Gross Return
+12.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,204.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.98 342 $8,199.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $25.24 342 $8,632.08 $8,637.45 +$432.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 341 $8,625.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.73 $8,376.59 $-260.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 341 $8,364.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.98 341 $8,859.18 $8,871.01 +$494.42
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.97 328 $8,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $28.33 328 $9,290.60 $9,315.42 +$444.41
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $27.78 335 $9,307.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $27.65 335 $9,262.75 $9,270.19 $-45.23
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,270.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-729.81
Total Return: -7.30%
Back to Marcus Reversal