Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,293.48
Current Value
$8,438.33
Period P&L
$-855.18
Max Drawdown
-24.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+3.06%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
-1.39%
Avg Hold Time
18.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,237.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-855.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-855.18
Gross Return
-9.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,293.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $146.47 61 $8,934.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $150.95 61 $9,207.65 $9,340.79 +$272.98
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:50am ET $152.36 61 $9,293.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $147.03 61 $8,968.83 $9,015.69 $-325.10
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $147.31 61 $8,985.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $141.21 61 $8,613.81 $8,643.59 $-372.10
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:35am ET $142.43 60 $8,545.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.37 60 $8,602.20 $8,699.99 +$56.40
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $147.00 59 $8,673.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $142.57 59 $8,411.34 $8,438.33 $-261.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,438.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,561.67
Total Return: -15.62%
Back to Marcus Reversal