Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 30.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,001.48
Current Value
$13,938.13
Period P&L
$1,936.64
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
+1.91%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$210,606.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,936.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,936.64
Gross Return
+16.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,001.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $177.80 67 $11,912.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 67 $12,682.43 $12,855.40 +$769.50
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $187.42 68 $12,744.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $181.38 68 $12,333.84 $12,444.68 $-410.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET $180.56 68 $12,278.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $192.44 68 $13,085.92 $13,252.52 +$807.84
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:55am ET $191.75 69 $13,230.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $202.80 69 $13,993.20 $14,014.97 +$762.45
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $199.37 70 $13,955.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $193.37 70 $13,535.90 $13,594.97 $-420.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $189.76 71 $13,472.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 71 $13,561.00 $13,683.24 +$88.27
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $188.78 72 $13,592.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $183.10 72 $13,183.20 $13,274.28 $-408.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $185.77 71 $13,190.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:50am ET $195.13 71 $13,853.88 $13,938.13 +$663.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,938.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,938.13
Total Return: +39.38%
Back to Marcus Reversal