Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 13 trades in period

+31.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,716.89
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$8,120.53
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,120.53
Current Value
$10,716.89
Period P&L
$2,596.36
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+17.51%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
+2.34%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,551.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,596.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,596.36
Gross Return
+31.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,120.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $42.40 192 $8,140.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.67 192 $8,576.64 $8,600.53 +$435.84
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $43.82 196 $8,588.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $42.37 196 $8,304.52 $8,316.33 $-284.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $44.42 187 $8,305.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $47.00 187 $8,789.00 $8,799.72 +$483.39
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $46.76 188 $8,790.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $54.95 188 $10,330.60 $10,339.44 +$1,539.72
(+17.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $57.33 180 $10,320.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET $55.58 180 $10,004.40 $10,023.54 $-315.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $56.31 178 $10,022.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $59.25 178 $10,546.50 $10,547.75 +$524.21
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $56.89 185 $10,524.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $59.74 185 $11,052.82 $11,075.92 +$528.17
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:15am ET $58.53 189 $11,062.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $61.49 189 $11,621.61 $11,635.36 +$559.44
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $60.03 193 $11,585.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $53.16 193 $10,259.88 $10,309.45 $-1,325.91
(-11.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $53.28 193 $10,283.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.09 193 $10,825.37 $10,851.78 +$542.33
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $54.63 198 $10,817.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $52.99 198 $10,491.03 $10,525.08 $-326.70
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.08 206 $10,521.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $53.65 206 $11,051.90 $11,055.53 +$530.45
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $54.10 204 $11,036.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.44 204 $10,697.76 $10,716.89 $-338.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,716.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$716.89
Total Return: +7.17%
Back to Marcus Reversal