Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:28:16

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 39.5/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 33.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,885.85
Current Value
$15,613.07
Period P&L
$2,727.23
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+8.20%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.55%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,952.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,727.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,727.23
Gross Return
+21.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,885.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET $586.30 21 $12,312.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $568.35 21 $11,935.35 $12,515.80 $-376.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $563.00 22 $12,386.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $609.17 22 $13,401.74 $13,531.54 +$1,015.74
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $604.28 22 $13,294.16
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $634.62 22 $13,961.64 $14,199.02 +$667.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $637.82 22 $14,031.93
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $671.57 22 $14,774.54 $14,941.63 +$742.61
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $672.63 22 $14,797.87
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $706.38 22 $15,540.36 $15,684.12 +$742.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $712.86 22 $15,682.94
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $690.97 22 $15,201.34 $15,202.52 $-481.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $695.94 21 $14,614.74
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $738.03 21 $15,498.63 $16,086.41 +$883.89
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $737.92 21 $15,496.32
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $715.38 21 $15,022.98 $15,613.07 $-473.34
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,613.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,613.07
Total Return: +56.13%
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