Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 29.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

4
-14.0%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,166.50
Current Value
$14,525.33
Period P&L
$-641.16
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$443,297.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-641.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-641.16
Gross Return
-4.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,166.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $46.75 325 $15,193.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $45.22 325 $14,696.50 $14,739.11 $-497.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $45.74 322 $14,729.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $48.24 322 $15,531.67 $15,540.89 +$801.78
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:40am ET $47.45 327 $15,516.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $45.84 327 $14,989.68 $15,014.42 $-526.47
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $48.08 312 $15,000.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $50.60 312 $15,787.20 $15,800.66 +$786.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET $52.36 301 $15,760.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $50.72 301 $15,266.72 $15,307.02 $-493.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:40am ET $49.63 308 $15,284.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $52.13 308 $16,056.04 $16,078.56 +$771.54
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $51.31 313 $16,060.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET $53.93 313 $16,880.09 $16,898.62 +$820.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET $52.92 319 $16,881.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $55.70 319 $17,768.30 $17,785.44 +$886.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET $58.82 302 $17,763.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 302 $17,038.84 $17,060.64 $-724.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET $58.50 291 $17,023.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $56.63 291 $16,477.88 $16,515.02 $-545.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.79 285 $16,471.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $55.84 285 $15,914.40 $15,957.85 $-557.17
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $56.02 284 $15,909.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $54.31 284 $15,422.62 $15,470.79 $-487.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $54.06 286 $15,459.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $52.34 286 $14,969.24 $14,980.30 $-490.49
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.27 286 $14,949.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $50.68 286 $14,494.25 $14,525.33 $-454.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,525.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,525.33
Total Return: +45.25%
Back to Marcus Reversal