Compendium › Marcus Reversal › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 14 trades in period

+1.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$29,065.35
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$28,615.55
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:26:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.4/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 65.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 64.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-64 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$28,615.55
Current Value
$29,065.35
Period P&L
$449.82
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-4.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$802,201.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$449.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$449.82
Gross Return
+1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $28,615.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $52.43 545 $28,574.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:25am ET $55.15 545 $30,057.51 $30,098.69 +$1,483.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET $55.38 543 $30,071.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $52.76 543 $28,648.68 $28,676.03 $-1,422.66
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $54.26 528 $28,649.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $52.58 528 $27,762.24 $27,788.46 $-887.57
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $53.13 522 $27,736.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $51.53 522 $26,898.66 $26,950.65 $-837.81
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.62 532 $26,929.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $53.18 532 $28,291.76 $28,312.62 +$1,361.97
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET $54.52 519 $28,295.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $52.16 519 $27,071.04 $27,087.78 $-1,224.84
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $52.99 511 $27,077.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $51.35 511 $26,242.40 $26,252.29 $-835.49
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $51.38 510 $26,203.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $54.01 510 $27,547.65 $27,596.09 +$1,343.80
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $55.94 493 $27,576.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.78 493 $28,978.54 $28,997.98 +$1,401.89
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $58.52 495 $28,966.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $61.54 495 $30,460.96 $30,492.43 +$1,494.45
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $62.81 485 $30,462.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $60.62 485 $29,402.01 $29,431.59 $-1,060.84
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $58.35 504 $29,408.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $61.41 504 $30,950.64 $30,973.83 +$1,542.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET $58.43 530 $30,967.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.54 530 $29,966.25 $29,972.18 $-1,001.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $58.97 508 $29,954.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.18 508 $29,047.39 $29,065.35 $-906.83
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,065.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,065.35
Total Return: +190.65%
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