SOXL Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
-13.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$78,101.04
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$90,470.94
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.3/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
70.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 69.1
30-Day Momentum
12
-6.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-57 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$90,470.94
Current Value
$78,101.04
Period P&L
$-12,369.86
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+12.83%
Worst Trade
-16.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$5,509,850.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-12,369.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-12,369.86
Gross Return
-13.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $90,470.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $224.84 | 402 | $90,383.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $217.51 | 402 | $87,439.02 | $87,526.25 |
$-2,944.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $249.18 | 351 | $87,460.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.13 | 351 | $78,669.63 | $78,735.46 |
$-8,790.79 (-10.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $193.76 | 406 | $78,664.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $207.51 | 406 | $84,249.06 | $84,319.99 |
+$5,584.53 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.16 | 354 | $84,308.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $227.04 | 354 | $80,372.16 | $80,383.51 |
$-3,936.48 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $197.05 | 407 | $80,199.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $191.12 | 407 | $77,783.81 | $77,967.97 |
$-2,415.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $201.59 | 386 | $77,813.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $194.97 | 386 | $75,258.42 | $75,412.65 |
$-2,555.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $162.65 | 463 | $75,306.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $157.59 | 463 | $72,962.83 | $73,068.53 |
$-2,344.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $196.52 | 371 | $72,908.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.16 | 371 | $67,583.21 | $67,742.82 |
$-5,325.71 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.78 | 392 | $67,729.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $166.62 | 392 | $65,315.04 | $65,328.10 |
$-2,414.72 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $178.57 | 365 | $65,178.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $173.07 | 365 | $63,170.55 | $63,320.42 |
$-2,007.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $149.68 | 423 | $63,316.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $145.00 | 423 | $61,335.00 | $61,338.67 |
$-1,981.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $136.65 | 448 | $61,216.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.14 | 448 | $64,574.72 | $64,696.43 |
+$3,357.76 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:30pm ET | $156.45 | 413 | $64,613.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.54 | 413 | $61,760.02 | $61,842.60 |
$-2,853.83 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.18 | 403 | $61,731.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.15 | 403 | $64,943.49 | $65,054.55 |
+$3,211.95 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.90 | 461 | $64,954.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $148.62 | 461 | $68,513.82 | $68,613.47 |
+$3,558.92 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $119.92 | 572 | $68,594.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $127.75 | 572 | $73,075.86 | $73,095.09 |
+$4,481.62 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $102.03 | 716 | $73,052.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $98.62 | 716 | $70,610.41 | $70,653.46 |
$-2,441.63 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:40am ET | $120.55 | 586 | $70,642.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET | $116.30 | 586 | $68,151.80 | $68,162.96 |
$-2,490.50 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.55 | 499 | $68,138.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $131.53 | 499 | $65,633.47 | $65,657.98 |
$-2,504.98 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $137.45 | 477 | $65,563.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $133.28 | 477 | $63,574.56 | $63,668.89 |
$-1,989.09 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $130.30 | 488 | $63,586.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.01 | 488 | $71,742.69 | $71,825.18 |
+$8,156.29 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.84 | 502 | $71,703.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $150.59 | 502 | $75,593.67 | $75,715.68 |
+$3,890.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $142.04 | 533 | $75,704.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.69 | 533 | $80,851.46 | $80,862.49 |
+$5,146.81 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.85 | 599 | $80,775.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $130.66 | 599 | $78,265.40 | $78,352.68 |
$-2,509.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $121.43 | 645 | $78,322.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $117.41 | 645 | $75,726.87 | $75,757.20 |
$-2,595.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $106.76 | 709 | $75,692.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $112.21 | 709 | $79,556.89 | $79,621.25 |
+$3,864.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $115.14 | 691 | $79,561.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.49 | 691 | $85,328.14 | $85,387.65 |
+$5,766.40 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $117.21 | 728 | $85,328.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $111.98 | 728 | $81,521.44 | $81,580.21 |
$-3,807.44 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $110.83 | 736 | $81,570.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.97 | 736 | $77,993.92 | $78,003.25 |
$-3,576.96 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $101.52 | 768 | $77,967.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $106.75 | 768 | $81,983.16 | $82,019.05 |
+$4,015.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $115.71 | 708 | $81,922.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.77 | 708 | $89,045.16 | $89,141.46 |
+$7,122.41 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $124.34 | 716 | $89,027.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.91 | 716 | $83,707.56 | $83,821.59 |
$-5,319.87 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $121.89 | 687 | $83,735.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.44 | 687 | $69,691.82 | $69,778.42 |
$-14,043.17 (-16.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $102.25 | 682 | $69,734.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.43 | 682 | $73,267.26 | $73,311.18 |
+$3,532.76 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $116.78 | 627 | $73,221.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $123.08 | 627 | $77,171.16 | $77,261.28 |
+$3,950.10 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.76 | 530 | $77,252.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $140.09 | 530 | $74,247.70 | $74,256.18 |
$-3,005.10 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $138.22 | 537 | $74,224.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $145.38 | 537 | $78,069.01 | $78,101.04 |
+$3,844.86 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$78,101.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$68,101.04
Total Return:
+681.01%