Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,948.43
Current Value
$4,631.82
Period P&L
$683.36
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+5.85%
Worst Trade
-5.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,176.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$683.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$683.36
Gross Return
+17.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $3,948.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:45am ET $39.83 99 $3,942.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $38.56 99 $3,817.93 $3,823.62 $-124.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $36.23 105 $3,804.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $38.35 105 $4,026.76 $4,046.23 +$222.61
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET $38.06 106 $4,034.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $39.97 106 $4,236.82 $4,248.69 +$202.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $40.84 104 $4,247.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $38.98 104 $4,053.78 $4,055.48 $-193.21
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $37.98 106 $4,025.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $39.90 106 $4,228.87 $4,258.47 +$202.99
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.30 108 $4,244.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $41.30 108 $4,460.39 $4,474.53 +$216.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $40.88 109 $4,455.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $43.09 109 $4,696.48 $4,715.09 +$240.56
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:40am ET $43.49 108 $4,696.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $45.83 108 $4,949.50 $4,967.68 +$252.59
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $46.42 107 $4,966.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $48.74 107 $5,215.71 $5,216.46 +$248.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $44.83 116 $5,200.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $43.03 116 $4,991.48 $5,007.67 $-208.79
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $42.42 118 $5,006.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $39.96 118 $4,715.28 $4,716.80 $-290.87
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET $38.40 122 $4,685.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $37.22 122 $4,541.45 $4,572.84 $-143.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET $37.52 121 $4,539.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $36.29 121 $4,391.69 $4,424.61 $-148.23
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $36.40 121 $4,405.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:50am ET $38.24 121 $4,626.44 $4,646.04 +$221.43
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:20am ET $38.13 121 $4,613.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $40.15 121 $4,857.87 $4,890.18 +$244.14
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $39.08 125 $4,885.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $37.90 125 $4,737.51 $4,742.69 $-147.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $38.63 122 $4,713.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $40.74 122 $4,970.28 $4,999.50 +$256.81
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.02 124 $4,962.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.64 124 $4,791.36 $4,828.38 $-171.12
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 126 $4,816.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 126 $4,620.42 $4,631.82 $-196.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,631.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,368.18
Total Return: -53.68%
Back to Marcus Reversal