Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:27:21

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,358.05
Current Value
$6,240.40
Period P&L
$1,882.34
Max Drawdown
-54.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+12.86%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+3.86%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,943.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,882.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,882.34
Gross Return
+43.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,358.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $271.94 16 $4,351.04
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $262.93 16 $4,206.88 $4,213.90 $-144.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $259.71 16 $4,155.44
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $274.44 16 $4,391.04 $4,449.50 +$235.60
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $272.71 16 $4,363.36
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 16 $4,924.64 $5,010.78 +$561.28
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $306.22 16 $4,899.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $321.58 16 $5,145.20 $5,256.46 +$245.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $321.85 16 $5,149.59
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 16 $5,662.24 $5,769.11 +$512.65
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $354.52 16 $5,672.32
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $372.27 16 $5,956.32 $6,053.11 +$284.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $365.36 16 $5,845.76
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $384.15 16 $6,146.40 $6,353.75 +$300.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
8 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $399.20 15 $5,987.93
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $385.17 15 $5,777.55 $6,143.38 $-210.37
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $392.15 15 $5,882.25
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:45am ET $379.52 15 $5,692.73 $5,953.86 $-189.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $381.54 15 $5,723.14
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $400.64 15 $6,009.67 $6,240.40 +$286.54
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,240.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,759.60
Total Return: -37.60%
Back to Marcus Reversal