Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:32:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 33.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.9

30-Day Momentum

45
+13.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,503.75
Current Value
$15,700.95
Period P&L
$4,197.18
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+7.48%
Worst Trade
-6.67%
Avg Trade Return
+1.55%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$472,435.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,197.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,197.18
Gross Return
+36.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,503.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $112.67 108 $12,168.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $106.45 108 $11,496.60 $11,523.21 $-671.76
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $106.12 108 $11,460.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $102.81 108 $11,103.48 $11,165.74 $-357.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET $104.43 106 $11,069.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 106 $11,897.44 $11,993.60 +$827.86
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET $110.21 108 $11,902.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $115.83 108 $12,509.64 $12,600.56 +$606.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.92 105 $12,486.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $124.89 105 $13,113.45 $13,227.41 +$626.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $131.31 100 $13,131.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $138.37 100 $13,837.04 $13,933.45 +$706.04
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $137.75 101 $13,912.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.56 101 $12,984.56 $13,005.27 $-928.18
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $123.47 105 $12,964.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $119.43 105 $12,539.63 $12,580.55 $-424.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:10am ET $127.82 98 $12,526.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $120.68 98 $11,826.64 $11,880.83 $-699.72
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $116.51 101 $11,767.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $122.39 101 $12,361.40 $12,474.72 +$593.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET $124.54 100 $12,453.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $131.84 100 $13,184.00 $13,205.22 +$730.50
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $132.13 99 $13,080.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $128.11 99 $12,682.89 $12,807.74 $-397.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $126.07 101 $12,733.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $132.93 101 $13,425.93 $13,500.60 +$692.86
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:50am ET $136.29 99 $13,492.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $143.25 99 $14,181.75 $14,189.64 +$689.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $142.00 99 $14,058.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $149.26 99 $14,776.74 $14,908.38 +$718.74
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $152.61 97 $14,803.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $160.50 97 $15,568.58 $15,673.79 +$765.41
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:05am ET $156.28 100 $15,628.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 100 $14,887.00 $14,932.79 $-741.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $145.35 102 $14,825.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET $152.88 102 $15,593.86 $15,700.95 +$768.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,700.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,700.95
Total Return: +57.01%
Back to Marcus Reversal