Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:43:10

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-9.1%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,636.28
Current Value
$8,571.36
Period P&L
$-5,064.93
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
3 / 19
Best Trade
+8.26%
Worst Trade
-5.38%
Avg Trade Return
-2.15%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$488,708.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,064.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,064.93
Gross Return
-37.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,636.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:35am ET $27.10 516 $13,983.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $26.18 516 $13,508.88 $13,516.17 $-474.72
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $27.72 487 $13,499.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $26.23 487 $12,773.82 $12,790.35 $-725.82
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $25.39 503 $12,771.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $24.61 503 $12,381.34 $12,400.53 $-389.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $23.99 516 $12,378.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $25.35 516 $13,080.60 $13,102.96 +$702.43
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:25am ET $24.24 540 $13,086.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET $23.48 540 $12,679.20 $12,695.26 $-407.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET $23.65 536 $12,673.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $22.86 536 $12,252.91 $12,274.45 $-420.81
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET $25.10 489 $12,273.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $23.98 489 $11,726.22 $11,726.77 $-547.68
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET $24.21 484 $11,717.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:25am ET $23.48 484 $11,364.32 $11,373.45 $-353.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:50am ET $23.85 476 $11,354.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.83 476 $12,292.70 $12,311.17 +$937.72
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $25.38 485 $12,308.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET $24.55 485 $11,906.75 $11,909.35 $-401.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $25.03 475 $11,891.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $24.26 475 $11,523.50 $11,541.23 $-368.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $25.33 455 $11,525.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $24.42 455 $11,111.10 $11,127.23 $-414.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.60 452 $11,121.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $23.84 452 $10,775.68 $10,781.45 $-345.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $22.81 472 $10,766.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.08 472 $10,421.76 $10,436.89 $-344.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $21.58 483 $10,423.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $20.83 483 $10,060.89 $10,074.69 $-362.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $20.23 497 $10,054.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $19.57 497 $9,723.81 $9,743.59 $-331.10
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $19.89 489 $9,723.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $19.24 489 $9,408.36 $9,428.18 $-315.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:30am ET $19.07 494 $9,418.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $18.44 494 $9,111.83 $9,121.90 $-306.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:55am ET $18.35 497 $9,119.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.79 497 $8,841.63 $8,843.58 $-278.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $17.14 516 $8,842.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $18.01 516 $9,293.16 $9,294.56 +$450.98
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 508 $9,291.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 508 $8,839.20 $8,842.44 $-452.12
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $17.60 502 $8,837.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.07 502 $8,566.63 $8,571.36 $-271.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,571.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,428.64
Total Return: -14.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal