Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:29:15

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

23
+6.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,251.64
Current Value
$13,990.89
Period P&L
$-1,260.76
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
9 / 16
Best Trade
+12.35%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$699,285.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,260.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,260.76
Gross Return
-8.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,251.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.35 302 $15,205.70
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $52.92 302 $15,982.93 $16,028.88 +$777.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $56.42 284 $16,023.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.31 284 $16,842.65 $16,848.22 +$819.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 300 $16,848.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $54.02 300 $16,206.00 $16,206.22 $-642.00
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.82 325 $16,191.50
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 325 $17,906.98 $17,921.70 +$1,715.48
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.35 355 $17,874.25
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $48.71 355 $17,292.05 $17,339.50 $-582.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.17 338 $17,295.46
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 338 $14,687.79 $14,731.83 $-2,607.67
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $43.81 336 $14,720.19
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $42.35 336 $14,228.42 $14,240.06 $-491.77
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $41.01 347 $14,230.44
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.72 347 $13,782.84 $13,792.47 $-447.59
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $38.52 358 $13,790.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $37.34 358 $13,367.76 $13,370.07 $-422.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.99 342 $13,334.58
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $40.96 342 $14,008.35 $14,043.84 +$673.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $38.81 361 $14,010.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.63 361 $13,584.43 $13,617.86 $-425.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $37.37 364 $13,602.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $36.07 364 $13,129.48 $13,144.66 $-473.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:05am ET $35.77 367 $13,127.59
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 367 $13,828.56 $13,845.63 +$700.97
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $36.53 379 $13,842.98
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $35.35 379 $13,397.65 $13,400.30 $-445.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:20am ET $35.78 374 $13,381.72
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:50am ET $37.61 374 $14,066.14 $14,084.72 +$684.42
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $36.03 390 $14,051.70
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:00am ET $34.90 390 $13,611.04 $13,644.06 $-440.66
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $34.18 399 $13,637.82
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $32.97 399 $13,157.02 $13,163.26 $-480.80
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $31.60 416 $13,145.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $30.60 416 $12,729.64 $12,747.30 $-415.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
19 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $29.50 432 $12,744.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $28.53 432 $12,325.52 $12,328.82 $-418.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $29.25 421 $12,316.35
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $28.33 421 $11,929.03 $11,941.50 $-387.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $29.29 407 $11,921.03
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $30.84 407 $12,551.88 $12,572.35 +$630.85
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $31.74 396 $12,569.04
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $30.75 396 $12,177.00 $12,180.31 $-392.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.56 458 $12,164.48
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $25.73 458 $11,782.05 $11,797.88 $-382.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:50am ET $25.53 462 $11,794.86
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $26.95 462 $12,450.90 $12,453.92 +$656.04
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.15 495 $12,449.25
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.25 495 $13,986.22 $13,990.89 +$1,536.97
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,990.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,990.89
Total Return: +39.91%
Back to Marcus Reversal