Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VOO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VOO
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,656.86
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,925.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,925.94
Current Value
$14,656.86
Period P&L
$-269.08
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.83

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.13%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
-1.20%
Avg Hold Time
23.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$85,685.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-269.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-269.08
Gross Return
-1.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,925.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $691.59 21 $14,523.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $669.48 21 $14,059.08 $14,712.16 $-464.33
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $683.82 21 $14,360.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $684.68 21 $14,378.32 $14,730.26 +$18.10
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET $710.95 20 $14,218.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:05am ET $707.28 20 $14,145.50 $14,656.86 $-73.40
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,656.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,656.86
Total Return: +46.57%
Back to Marcus Reversal