Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,741.85
Current Value
$12,187.73
Period P&L
$-1,554.14
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$457,510.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,554.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,554.14
Gross Return
-11.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,741.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $23.57 581 $13,691.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $22.85 581 $13,275.85 $13,279.97 $-415.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $22.39 593 $13,278.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.64 593 $12,833.71 $12,835.04 $-444.93
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $21.58 594 $12,821.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $22.68 594 $13,474.89 $13,488.44 +$653.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:25am ET $21.75 620 $13,488.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $21.08 620 $13,072.70 $13,073.04 $-415.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET $21.41 610 $13,060.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $22.78 610 $13,895.80 $13,908.74 +$835.70
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $21.67 641 $13,890.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.78 641 $14,601.98 $14,620.25 +$711.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $22.51 649 $14,608.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $21.79 649 $14,141.71 $14,152.97 $-467.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $21.94 644 $14,132.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $23.07 644 $14,857.08 $14,877.47 +$724.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $22.29 667 $14,867.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.61 667 $14,413.87 $14,423.91 $-453.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $21.05 685 $14,419.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $20.41 685 $13,980.85 $13,985.51 $-438.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $20.26 690 $13,982.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $19.65 690 $13,555.05 $13,557.71 $-427.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $19.44 697 $13,549.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $18.82 697 $13,117.54 $13,125.57 $-432.14
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:20am ET $18.77 699 $13,123.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $18.21 699 $12,728.79 $12,730.63 $-394.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $18.23 698 $12,724.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.67 698 $12,337.15 $12,343.24 $-387.39
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:15am ET $17.82 692 $12,331.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 692 $12,957.70 $12,969.50 +$626.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.24 711 $12,968.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.69 711 $12,577.59 $12,578.45 $-391.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $17.85 704 $12,569.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:10am ET $17.30 704 $12,179.20 $12,187.73 $-390.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,187.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,187.73
Total Return: +21.88%
Back to Marcus Reversal