Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 26.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,333.64
Current Value
$13,478.98
Period P&L
$145.31
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.82%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
14.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,244.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$145.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$145.31
Gross Return
+1.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,333.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $83.55 158 $13,200.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $88.41 158 $13,968.78 $14,006.75 +$767.88
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $86.08 162 $13,944.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $86.53 162 $14,017.86 $14,079.65 +$72.90
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $87.34 161 $14,061.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $84.65 161 $13,629.45 $13,647.37 $-432.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $83.61 163 $13,628.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $87.82 163 $14,315.47 $14,334.41 +$687.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $89.46 160 $14,313.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.76 160 $13,881.60 $13,902.41 $-432.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $86.04 161 $13,852.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET $83.41 161 $13,429.01 $13,478.98 $-423.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,478.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,478.98
Total Return: +34.79%
Back to Marcus Reversal