Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 01:21:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 26.1/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

53
+16.5%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,082.06
Current Value
$13,238.87
Period P&L
$2,156.78
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+2.90%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,899.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,156.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,156.78
Gross Return
+19.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,082.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $75.50 140 $10,570.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $79.47 140 $11,125.80 $11,161.89 +$555.80
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.77 143 $11,121.11
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $81.71 143 $11,683.82 $11,724.60 +$562.71
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.41 144 $11,723.04
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $85.49 144 $12,310.11 $12,311.67 +$587.07
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $85.40 144 $12,297.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 144 $11,719.44 $11,733.51 $-578.16
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $80.66 145 $11,695.70
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $78.09 145 $11,323.05 $11,360.86 $-372.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $74.52 152 $11,327.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $78.40 152 $11,916.80 $11,950.62 +$589.76
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:20am ET $77.92 153 $11,921.76
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.82 153 $12,519.22 $12,548.08 +$597.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.55 153 $12,477.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 153 $13,167.95 $13,238.87 +$690.79
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,238.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,238.87
Total Return: +32.39%
Back to Marcus Reversal