Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:46:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 42.7/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,238.78
Current Value
$16,938.71
Period P&L
$-300.06
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+6.02%
Worst Trade
-5.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$267,902.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-300.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-300.06
Gross Return
-1.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,238.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $119.48 146 $17,444.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $115.85 146 $16,914.10 $17,024.15 $-529.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $116.22 146 $16,968.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $109.87 146 $16,041.02 $16,097.05 $-927.10
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET $110.68 145 $16,049.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $116.90 145 $16,950.50 $16,998.23 +$901.18
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $113.32 150 $16,998.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $109.91 150 $16,486.50 $16,486.73 $-511.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $107.39 153 $16,431.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $113.86 153 $17,420.58 $17,475.94 +$989.21
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $112.76 154 $17,365.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $109.36 154 $16,842.21 $16,953.11 $-522.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:45am ET $111.96 151 $16,905.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 151 $16,083.01 $16,130.16 $-822.95
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:25am ET $102.53 157 $16,097.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $107.68 157 $16,905.76 $16,938.71 +$808.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,938.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,938.71
Total Return: +69.39%
Back to Marcus Reversal