Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:22:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,301.66
Current Value
$12,919.24
Period P&L
$1,617.58
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+1.13%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$245,243.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,617.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,617.58
Gross Return
+14.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,301.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.03 83 $11,622.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $135.64 83 $11,258.24 $11,283.94 $-364.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.96 82 $11,230.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $143.85 82 $11,796.11 $11,849.33 +$565.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.38 82 $11,838.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $153.47 82 $12,584.54 $12,595.12 +$745.79
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $157.54 79 $12,446.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $152.28 79 $12,030.16 $12,179.22 $-415.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $156.71 77 $12,066.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $151.66 77 $11,677.82 $11,790.37 $-388.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $153.01 77 $11,781.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $160.80 77 $12,381.60 $12,390.20 +$599.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.63 77 $12,291.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $167.75 77 $12,916.75 $13,015.44 +$625.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $167.43 77 $12,892.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $162.34 77 $12,499.80 $12,623.15 $-392.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 79 $12,495.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 79 $13,197.74 $13,325.86 +$702.71
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $164.46 81 $13,321.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $159.44 81 $12,914.64 $12,919.24 $-406.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,919.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,919.24
Total Return: +29.19%
Back to Marcus Reversal