Compendium › Marcus Reversal › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 33 trades in period

-39.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$250.84
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$276.31
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 02:45:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-16.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
16
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$276.31
Current Value
$250.84
Period P&L
$-110.24
Max Drawdown
-96.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
10 / 23
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-3.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.62%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$19,797.04
Estimated Fees
$49.49
Gross P&L
$-110.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-159.73
Gross Return
-39.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-57.81%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $276.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 4:10am ET $1.40 226 $315.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $1.36 226 $306.41 $306.41 $-11.07
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $1.36 226 $306.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $1.32 226 $297.16 $297.16 $-10.76
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 4:00pm ET $1.32 226 $297.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:25pm ET $1.38 226 $312.51 $312.51 +$13.82
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:35pm ET $1.36 229 $312.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $1.32 229 $303.03 $303.03 $-11.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 5:30pm ET $1.35 224 $303.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 8:15am ET $1.42 224 $318.20 $318.20 +$13.62
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $1.40 228 $318.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $1.47 228 $334.22 $334.22 +$14.39
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $1.45 231 $334.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET $1.40 231 $323.86 $323.86 $-12.01
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:15pm ET $1.40 231 $323.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $1.35 231 $311.68 $311.68 $-13.77
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.35 231 $311.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:20am ET $1.42 231 $327.70 $327.70 +$14.42
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:25am ET $1.41 232 $327.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $1.48 232 $344.53 $344.53 +$15.15
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $1.49 232 $344.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $1.44 232 $334.06 $334.06 $-12.17
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:55pm ET $1.45 231 $334.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $1.53 231 $353.77 $353.77 +$17.99
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 4:10pm ET $1.51 235 $353.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35am ET $1.46 235 $342.44 $342.44 $-13.07
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:40am ET $1.46 235 $342.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 3:15am ET $1.41 235 $331.03 $331.03 $-13.10
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 16, 2026 3:20am ET $1.41 235 $331.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $1.37 235 $321.09 $321.09 $-11.57
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:25pm ET $1.39 232 $321.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.34 232 $310.96 $310.96 $-11.71
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $1.34 232 $310.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:20pm ET $1.29 232 $299.41 $299.41 $-13.07
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:30pm ET $1.29 233 $299.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:10pm ET $1.36 233 $315.31 $315.31 +$14.36
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 30, 2026 12:00am ET $1.35 234 $315.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:25am ET $1.31 234 $305.79 $305.79 $-11.07
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:30am ET $1.31 234 $305.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:00am ET $1.27 234 $296.52 $296.52 $-10.78
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:05am ET $1.27 234 $296.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $1.23 234 $287.49 $287.49 $-10.49
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1.23 234 $287.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.19 234 $278.40 $278.40 $-10.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:55pm ET $1.20 232 $278.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $1.16 232 $268.65 $268.65 $-11.12
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $1.16 231 $268.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:50am ET $1.13 231 $260.50 $260.50 $-9.48
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $1.12 233 $260.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $1.08 233 $251.83 $251.83 $-9.95
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $1.08 233 $251.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 4:30am ET $1.14 233 $264.73 $264.73 +$11.61
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:10am ET $1.14 232 $264.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 5:15am ET $1.10 232 $256.26 $256.26 $-9.77
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 5:20am ET $1.10 233 $256.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2026 11:40am ET $1.16 233 $269.71 $269.71 +$12.13
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.15 235 $269.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 7:10am ET $1.21 235 $284.82 $284.82 +$13.72
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 4:50pm ET $1.27 225 $284.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00pm ET $1.23 225 $276.07 $276.07 $-10.15
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:05pm ET $1.23 225 $276.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET $1.19 225 $267.78 $267.78 $-9.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 7:25am ET $1.19 225 $267.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:20am ET $1.15 225 $259.23 $259.23 $-9.87
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $1.15 226 $259.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:25am ET $1.11 226 $250.84 $250.84 $-9.66
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $250.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,749.16
Total Return: -97.49%
Back to Marcus Reversal