AMD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 51 trades in period
+146.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$29,372.20
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,901.91
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.8/35
Total Return
19.0/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
45.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 45.0
30-Day Momentum
55
+16.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.3
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,901.91
Current Value
$29,372.20
Period P&L
$17,470.28
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
30 /
21
Best Trade
+20.82%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+2.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,199,291.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$17,470.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$17,470.28
Gross Return
+146.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+146.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,901.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $203.54 | 55 | $11,194.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.90 | 55 | $11,874.50 | $11,893.12 |
+$679.80 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $217.51 | 54 | $11,745.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.96 | 54 | $11,337.84 | $11,485.42 |
$-407.70 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $198.01 | 58 | $11,484.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.98 | 58 | $12,063.02 | $12,063.86 |
+$578.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 59 | $12,038.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 59 | $12,657.57 | $12,682.48 |
+$618.62 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $219.36 | 57 | $12,503.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 57 | $13,245.09 | $13,424.05 |
+$741.57 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $234.36 | 57 | $13,358.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $248.50 | 57 | $14,164.50 | $14,229.84 |
+$805.79 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $243.47 | 58 | $14,121.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.10 | 58 | $14,853.80 | $14,962.15 |
+$732.31 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $275.28 | 54 | $14,865.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 54 | $15,728.58 | $15,825.61 |
+$863.46 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $304.32 | 52 | $15,824.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.83 | 52 | $17,515.42 | $17,516.39 |
+$1,690.78 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.27 | 51 | $17,251.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 51 | $15,905.63 | $16,170.25 |
$-1,346.14 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.40 | 50 | $16,070.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $337.47 | 50 | $16,873.50 | $16,973.75 |
+$803.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $351.85 | 48 | $16,888.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $340.30 | 48 | $16,334.64 | $16,419.59 |
$-554.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $353.24 | 46 | $16,249.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 46 | $19,632.80 | $19,803.35 |
+$3,383.76 (+20.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $411.82 | 48 | $19,767.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $433.13 | 48 | $20,790.00 | $20,825.99 |
+$1,022.64 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $462.33 | 45 | $20,804.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $446.67 | 45 | $20,100.37 | $20,121.74 |
$-704.25 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $437.89 | 45 | $19,705.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $422.94 | 45 | $19,032.30 | $19,448.99 |
$-672.75 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $396.60 | 49 | $19,433.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $417.83 | 49 | $20,473.67 | $20,489.26 |
+$1,040.27 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $444.54 | 46 | $20,448.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.87 | 46 | $21,614.02 | $21,654.44 |
+$1,165.18 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $489.62 | 44 | $21,543.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $514.67 | 44 | $22,645.48 | $22,756.64 |
+$1,102.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $506.90 | 44 | $22,303.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $489.42 | 44 | $21,534.70 | $21,987.74 |
$-768.90 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $508.07 | 43 | $21,846.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $533.82 | 43 | $22,954.26 | $23,095.17 |
+$1,107.43 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.98 | 44 | $22,659.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.12 | 44 | $21,961.28 | $22,397.33 |
$-697.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $487.92 | 45 | $21,956.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $470.93 | 45 | $21,191.85 | $21,632.75 |
$-764.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $456.79 | 47 | $21,469.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $480.86 | 47 | $22,600.42 | $22,764.04 |
+$1,131.29 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $515.60 | 44 | $22,686.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $547.16 | 44 | $24,074.94 | $24,152.58 |
+$1,388.54 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $537.96 | 44 | $23,670.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $519.51 | 44 | $22,858.22 | $23,340.56 |
$-812.02 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $521.06 | 44 | $22,926.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $552.59 | 44 | $24,313.96 | $24,727.88 |
+$1,387.32 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $519.30 | 47 | $24,407.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $547.04 | 47 | $25,711.11 | $26,031.89 |
+$1,304.01 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $505.24 | 51 | $25,767.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.26 | 51 | $27,094.26 | $27,358.91 |
+$1,327.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $557.30 | 49 | $27,307.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $540.52 | 49 | $26,485.24 | $26,536.45 |
$-822.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $559.55 | 47 | $26,298.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.08 | 47 | $24,255.53 | $24,493.13 |
$-2,043.32 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $504.00 | 48 | $24,192.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $537.96 | 48 | $25,822.08 | $26,123.21 |
+$1,630.08 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $547.03 | 47 | $25,710.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $530.19 | 47 | $24,918.93 | $25,331.96 |
$-791.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $553.60 | 45 | $24,912.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $530.20 | 45 | $23,859.00 | $24,278.96 |
$-1,053.00 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $508.80 | 47 | $23,913.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $492.23 | 47 | $23,134.58 | $23,499.94 |
$-779.02 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $495.41 | 47 | $23,284.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.10 | 47 | $24,726.93 | $24,942.60 |
+$1,442.66 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.34 | 47 | $24,784.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $554.70 | 47 | $26,070.89 | $26,228.51 |
+$1,285.91 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $542.58 | 48 | $26,043.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $518.86 | 48 | $24,905.28 | $25,089.83 |
$-1,138.68 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $508.60 | 49 | $24,921.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $488.52 | 49 | $23,937.72 | $24,106.15 |
$-983.68 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $444.79 | 54 | $24,018.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $430.11 | 54 | $23,226.21 | $23,313.70 |
$-792.45 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $484.00 | 48 | $23,232.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 48 | $24,454.80 | $24,536.50 |
+$1,222.80 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $463.71 | 52 | $24,112.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $489.36 | 52 | $25,446.72 | $25,870.30 |
+$1,333.80 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.67 | 53 | $25,687.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.90 | 53 | $24,692.96 | $24,875.75 |
$-994.55 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $486.60 | 51 | $24,816.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $512.38 | 51 | $26,131.13 | $26,190.27 |
+$1,314.52 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 53 | $25,864.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $468.69 | 53 | $24,840.57 | $25,166.84 |
$-1,023.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $460.91 | 54 | $24,889.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $485.17 | 54 | $26,199.18 | $26,476.88 |
+$1,310.04 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $472.70 | 56 | $26,471.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.10 | 56 | $25,597.32 | $25,603.00 |
$-873.88 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $443.55 | 57 | $25,282.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $468.24 | 57 | $26,689.80 | $27,010.72 |
+$1,407.72 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $507.13 | 53 | $26,877.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.79 | 53 | $25,746.61 | $25,879.43 |
$-1,131.29 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $504.61 | 51 | $25,735.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $534.35 | 51 | $27,251.85 | $27,396.17 |
+$1,516.74 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $544.36 | 50 | $27,217.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $583.88 | 50 | $29,194.00 | $29,372.20 |
+$1,976.03 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$29,372.20
Net Profit/Loss:
+$19,372.20
Total Return:
+193.72%