Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 24 trades in period

-3.86%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,191.23
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$15,800.65
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:56

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 31.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,800.65
Current Value
$15,191.23
Period P&L
$-609.44
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+7.03%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$800,055.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-609.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-609.44
Gross Return
-3.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,800.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $206.23 74 $15,261.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $199.84 74 $14,788.16 $14,873.82 $-472.86
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $200.85 74 $14,862.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $211.04 74 $15,616.96 $15,627.88 +$754.06
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $209.28 74 $15,486.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 74 $16,575.26 $16,716.42 +$1,088.54
(+7.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $231.21 72 $16,647.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $245.23 72 $17,656.57 $17,725.87 +$1,009.45
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 71 $17,560.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $259.88 71 $18,451.48 $18,616.92 +$891.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $262.09 71 $18,608.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.25 71 $19,542.75 $19,551.28 +$934.36
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $273.87 71 $19,444.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $264.94 71 $18,810.74 $18,917.25 $-634.03
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:35am ET $267.24 70 $18,706.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $257.88 70 $18,051.25 $18,261.70 $-655.55
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $263.01 69 $18,147.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $254.78 69 $17,579.82 $17,694.17 $-567.53
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $256.04 69 $17,666.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $248.35 69 $17,136.15 $17,163.56 $-530.61
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $251.26 68 $17,085.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $243.70 68 $16,571.60 $16,649.21 $-514.35
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $243.62 68 $16,566.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $236.20 68 $16,061.60 $16,144.65 $-504.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET $235.73 68 $16,029.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.03 68 $16,866.04 $16,981.05 +$836.40
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $244.18 69 $16,848.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $236.68 69 $16,331.26 $16,463.55 $-517.50
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $238.76 68 $16,235.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 68 $15,383.64 $15,611.51 $-852.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $230.10 67 $15,416.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $242.52 67 $16,248.84 $16,443.64 +$832.13
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET $239.50 68 $16,286.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $251.73 68 $17,117.55 $17,275.19 +$831.55
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $253.63 68 $17,246.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $244.17 68 $16,603.56 $16,631.91 $-643.28
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $250.86 66 $16,556.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $243.27 66 $16,055.82 $16,130.97 $-500.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $234.04 68 $15,914.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $226.53 68 $15,404.04 $15,620.63 $-510.34
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET $266.65 58 $15,465.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $284.51 58 $16,501.63 $16,656.27 +$1,035.64
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $277.88 59 $16,394.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $269.32 59 $15,889.88 $16,151.23 $-505.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET $267.49 60 $16,049.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $259.45 60 $15,567.00 $15,668.83 $-482.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $260.27 60 $15,616.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $252.31 60 $15,138.60 $15,191.23 $-477.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,191.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,191.23
Total Return: +51.91%
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