AVGO Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-23 to present • 33 trades in period
-3.22%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,510.59
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$14,993.24
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
26.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 26.0
30-Day Momentum
5
-8.5%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,982
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,993.24
Current Value
$14,510.59
Period P&L
$-482.65
Max Drawdown
-27.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 /
19
Best Trade
+6.91%
Worst Trade
-15.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$926,388.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-482.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-482.65
Gross Return
-3.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,993.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $334.72 | 43 | $14,392.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $352.17 | 43 | $15,143.22 | $15,426.16 |
+$750.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:50pm ET | $350.76 | 43 | $15,082.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $339.20 | 43 | $14,585.60 | $14,929.30 |
$-496.87 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $346.71 | 43 | $14,908.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $335.68 | 43 | $14,434.24 | $14,455.01 |
$-474.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $343.62 | 42 | $14,432.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $333.29 | 42 | $13,998.18 | $14,021.15 |
$-433.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $329.26 | 42 | $13,828.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.67 | 42 | $13,258.14 | $13,450.37 |
$-570.78 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $326.52 | 41 | $13,387.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $316.00 | 41 | $12,956.12 | $13,019.07 |
$-431.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $311.24 | 41 | $12,761.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $301.34 | 41 | $12,354.94 | $12,612.96 |
$-406.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $316.60 | 39 | $12,347.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $333.18 | 39 | $12,994.21 | $13,259.97 |
+$647.01 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $346.74 | 38 | $13,176.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.34 | 38 | $13,084.92 | $13,168.77 |
$-91.20 (-0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.55 | 41 | $13,101.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $335.60 | 41 | $13,759.60 | $13,826.82 |
+$658.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $334.49 | 41 | $13,714.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.80 | 41 | $13,234.72 | $13,347.45 |
$-479.37 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $331.30 | 40 | $13,252.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $320.54 | 40 | $12,821.60 | $12,917.05 |
$-430.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $316.55 | 40 | $12,662.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $332.86 | 40 | $13,314.60 | $13,569.65 |
+$652.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $339.14 | 40 | $13,565.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $328.88 | 40 | $13,155.20 | $13,159.25 |
$-410.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $345.79 | 38 | $13,140.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $333.61 | 38 | $12,677.18 | $12,696.41 |
$-462.84 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $330.18 | 38 | $12,546.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $319.40 | 38 | $12,137.20 | $12,286.77 |
$-409.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $317.85 | 38 | $12,078.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 38 | $11,582.78 | $11,791.25 |
$-495.52 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $298.41 | 39 | $11,637.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.68 | 39 | $12,233.52 | $12,386.78 |
+$595.53 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.60 | 40 | $12,224.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.71 | 40 | $13,068.40 | $13,231.18 |
+$844.40 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $345.83 | 38 | $13,141.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.85 | 38 | $14,016.30 | $14,105.94 |
+$874.76 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $370.24 | 38 | $14,069.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.09 | 38 | $14,823.42 | $14,860.24 |
+$754.30 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $399.85 | 37 | $14,794.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $419.90 | 37 | $15,536.30 | $15,602.09 |
+$741.85 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $418.90 | 37 | $15,499.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.30 | 37 | $14,811.28 | $14,914.07 |
$-688.02 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $397.52 | 37 | $14,708.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $417.41 | 37 | $15,444.17 | $15,650.00 |
+$735.93 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $417.64 | 37 | $15,452.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $438.95 | 37 | $16,241.15 | $16,438.47 |
+$788.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $425.13 | 38 | $16,154.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.71 | 38 | $15,569.17 | $15,852.70 |
$-585.77 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $418.93 | 37 | $15,500.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $441.23 | 37 | $16,325.51 | $16,677.80 |
+$825.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $456.99 | 36 | $16,451.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.34 | 36 | $17,580.24 | $17,806.40 |
+$1,128.60 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $483.29 | 36 | $17,398.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.07 | 36 | $14,726.52 | $15,134.48 |
$-2,671.92 (-15.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $403.96 | 37 | $14,946.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $391.03 | 37 | $14,468.11 | $14,656.07 |
$-478.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $386.49 | 37 | $14,300.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $373.04 | 37 | $13,802.30 | $14,158.24 |
$-497.83 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $373.11 | 37 | $13,805.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.25 | 37 | $14,624.25 | $14,977.42 |
+$819.18 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.88 | 38 | $14,815.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $377.60 | 38 | $14,348.61 | $14,510.59 |
$-466.83 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,510.59
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,510.59
Total Return:
+45.11%