Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 14.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,411.58
Current Value
$10,429.08
Period P&L
$1,017.48
Max Drawdown
-28.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.70%
Worst Trade
-3.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$349,075.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,017.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,017.48
Gross Return
+10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,411.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.19 165 $9,436.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $60.31 165 $9,951.15 $9,993.23 +$514.80
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $61.80 161 $9,949.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET $59.90 161 $9,644.13 $9,687.56 $-305.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $59.06 164 $9,686.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $57.28 164 $9,394.03 $9,394.94 $-292.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $60.08 156 $9,372.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $58.19 156 $9,076.86 $9,099.32 $-295.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $59.38 153 $9,085.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $57.50 153 $8,797.50 $8,810.92 $-288.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $58.06 151 $8,767.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:50am ET $56.22 151 $8,489.22 $8,532.33 $-278.59
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $55.81 152 $8,482.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $58.71 152 $8,923.92 $8,973.87 +$441.54
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $57.91 154 $8,918.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $55.99 154 $8,622.46 $8,678.19 $-295.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $54.42 159 $8,653.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 159 $9,131.37 $9,156.51 +$478.32
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET $56.91 160 $9,105.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.17 160 $8,828.00 $8,878.91 $-277.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $54.35 163 $8,859.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET $57.17 163 $9,318.71 $9,338.55 +$459.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.64 162 $9,337.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $60.85 162 $9,856.89 $9,857.76 +$519.21
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $60.78 162 $9,846.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $64.04 162 $10,374.48 $10,385.88 +$528.12
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET $63.27 164 $10,376.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $66.50 164 $10,906.00 $10,915.60 +$529.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $63.95 170 $10,871.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $67.60 170 $11,491.15 $11,535.25 +$619.65
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $66.86 172 $11,499.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $64.44 172 $11,083.68 $11,119.01 $-416.24
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $64.49 172 $11,091.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $62.49 172 $10,749.14 $10,776.73 $-342.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET $63.07 170 $10,721.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $61.03 170 $10,374.25 $10,429.08 $-347.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,429.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$429.08
Total Return: +4.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal