Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:11:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,775.46
Current Value
$6,701.74
Period P&L
$-73.73
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
7 / 15
Best Trade
+19.87%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,719.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-73.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-73.73
Gross Return
-1.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,775.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $29.52 229 $6,760.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET $28.63 229 $6,555.13 $6,570.51 $-204.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $28.80 228 $6,565.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $27.86 228 $6,352.08 $6,357.33 $-213.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.89 227 $6,329.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 227 $6,647.69 $6,675.13 +$317.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.95 222 $6,648.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $29.01 222 $6,441.33 $6,467.56 $-207.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $31.77 203 $6,450.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 203 $6,148.87 $6,166.11 $-301.45
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 224 $6,144.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $26.60 224 $5,958.40 $5,980.19 $-185.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $26.54 225 $5,971.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:00am ET $25.72 225 $5,787.00 $5,795.69 $-184.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:10am ET $25.16 230 $5,785.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $24.40 230 $5,612.00 $5,622.04 $-173.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $23.92 235 $5,620.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $23.17 235 $5,446.12 $5,448.14 $-173.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.90 228 $5,448.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $23.13 228 $5,272.50 $5,272.58 $-175.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $22.57 233 $5,257.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $27.05 233 $6,302.18 $6,317.12 +$1,044.54
(+19.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET $24.14 261 $6,299.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET $23.40 261 $6,106.10 $6,123.98 $-193.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $23.31 262 $6,105.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $24.62 262 $6,450.44 $6,468.51 +$344.53
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $23.54 274 $6,449.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $22.83 274 $6,254.05 $6,272.60 $-195.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.14 283 $6,264.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $23.25 283 $6,581.16 $6,589.56 +$316.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $23.99 274 $6,573.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $25.19 274 $6,902.06 $6,918.36 +$328.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $25.16 274 $6,893.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET $26.44 274 $7,243.44 $7,267.96 +$349.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:40am ET $25.68 282 $7,243.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $27.02 282 $7,619.61 $7,644.40 +$376.44
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $26.34 290 $7,638.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $25.44 290 $7,377.60 $7,383.40 $-261.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET $24.91 296 $7,373.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:15am ET $24.15 296 $7,146.92 $7,156.96 $-226.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $23.29 307 $7,150.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.55 307 $6,921.32 $6,928.24 $-228.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $22.92 302 $6,923.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $22.17 302 $6,696.85 $6,701.74 $-226.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,701.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,298.26
Total Return: -32.98%
Back to Marcus Reversal