Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,167.18
Current Value
$12,698.84
Period P&L
$-468.35
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,028.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-468.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-468.35
Gross Return
-3.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,167.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $124.01 102 $12,649.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $130.57 102 $13,317.63 $13,327.84 +$668.61
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $133.93 99 $13,259.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $129.72 99 $12,842.28 $12,911.05 $-416.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $126.79 101 $12,805.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $133.68 101 $13,501.18 $13,606.44 +$695.39
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $129.80 104 $13,499.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 104 $12,767.04 $12,874.16 $-732.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $126.85 101 $12,811.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $122.68 101 $12,390.18 $12,452.49 $-421.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $123.29 101 $12,452.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $119.59 101 $12,078.59 $12,078.79 $-373.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $119.00 101 $12,019.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 101 $11,507.43 $11,567.22 $-511.57
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $117.17 98 $11,482.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $123.06 98 $12,059.39 $12,143.95 +$576.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 98 $12,116.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 98 $11,510.10 $11,537.33 $-606.62
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $116.02 99 $11,485.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $121.85 99 $12,063.15 $12,114.50 +$577.17
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $124.19 97 $12,046.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $120.39 97 $11,678.31 $11,746.38 $-368.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $119.07 98 $11,669.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $114.95 98 $11,265.10 $11,342.13 $-404.25
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:50am ET $115.13 98 $11,282.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $121.01 98 $11,859.22 $11,918.61 +$576.48
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $118.94 100 $11,894.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $114.33 100 $11,433.00 $11,457.61 $-461.00
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.49 102 $11,371.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $108.07 102 $11,023.14 $11,108.77 $-348.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $109.14 101 $11,023.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $105.31 101 $10,636.31 $10,721.94 $-386.83
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $105.63 101 $10,668.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:35am ET $111.02 101 $11,213.02 $11,266.83 +$544.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $108.88 103 $11,214.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $115.09 103 $11,854.27 $11,906.97 +$640.14
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.35 102 $11,867.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET $122.33 102 $12,477.66 $12,516.93 +$609.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:30am ET $119.88 104 $12,467.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $116.27 104 $12,092.08 $12,141.49 $-375.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:45am ET $118.16 102 $12,052.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET $124.07 102 $12,655.14 $12,744.31 +$602.82
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET $125.14 101 $12,639.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $131.61 101 $13,292.61 $13,397.78 +$653.47
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $134.80 99 $13,345.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $130.09 99 $12,878.91 $12,931.49 $-466.29
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.20 99 $12,889.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $137.01 99 $13,563.99 $13,605.68 +$674.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $136.40 99 $13,503.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $131.19 99 $12,987.78 $13,089.86 $-515.82
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $132.43 98 $12,977.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET $128.43 98 $12,586.63 $12,698.84 $-391.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,698.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,698.84
Total Return: +26.99%
Back to Marcus Reversal