Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 74.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 68.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$22,602.15
Current Value
$27,785.70
Period P&L
$5,183.52
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+20.53%
Worst Trade
-6.77%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,050,654.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,183.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,183.52
Gross Return
+22.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $22,602.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $78.54 277 $21,755.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET $82.53 277 $22,860.81 $22,924.89 +$1,105.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $82.25 278 $22,866.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $79.66 278 $22,145.48 $22,203.48 $-721.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $78.51 282 $22,139.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $82.55 282 $23,279.10 $23,342.79 +$1,139.31
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $83.21 280 $23,298.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $87.40 280 $24,472.00 $24,515.99 +$1,173.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $89.55 273 $24,447.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $86.82 273 $23,701.86 $23,770.51 $-745.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $92.22 257 $23,700.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $96.90 257 $24,903.30 $24,973.45 +$1,202.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $97.53 256 $24,967.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $117.55 256 $30,092.80 $30,098.57 +$5,125.12
(+20.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:30am ET $116.85 257 $30,030.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $125.54 257 $32,265.06 $32,333.18 +$2,234.61
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.06 256 $32,271.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $122.17 256 $31,274.24 $31,335.55 $-997.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $124.58 251 $31,269.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $120.40 251 $30,220.40 $30,286.37 $-1,049.18
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $119.32 253 $30,186.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $114.93 253 $29,077.29 $29,176.96 $-1,109.41
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.62 248 $29,169.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $113.99 248 $28,269.52 $28,276.72 $-900.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.46 247 $28,271.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET $120.20 247 $29,689.40 $29,694.50 +$1,417.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $119.35 248 $29,598.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.15 248 $28,557.20 $28,652.90 $-1,041.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $110.47 259 $28,611.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $116.28 259 $30,116.52 $30,157.69 +$1,504.79
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $114.56 263 $30,127.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET $120.45 263 $31,678.35 $31,708.07 +$1,550.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $121.58 260 $31,610.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $113.35 260 $29,471.00 $29,568.27 $-2,139.80
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:30am ET $111.60 264 $29,462.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $108.14 264 $28,548.96 $28,654.83 $-913.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET $109.41 261 $28,556.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $106.08 261 $27,686.88 $27,785.70 $-869.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,785.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,785.70
Total Return: +177.86%
Back to Marcus Reversal