DKNG Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 46 trades in period
-7.28%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,637.94
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$7,159.43
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
21
+3.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.6
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,159.43
Current Value
$6,637.94
Period P&L
$-521.47
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
17 /
29
Best Trade
+6.57%
Worst Trade
-5.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$641,526.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-521.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-521.47
Gross Return
-7.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.28%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,159.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $24.51 | 299 | $7,329.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.45 | 299 | $7,011.55 | $7,018.88 |
$-318.43 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.89 | 306 | $7,002.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.10 | 306 | $6,762.60 | $6,778.67 |
$-240.21 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $21.25 | 318 | $6,757.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $20.58 | 318 | $6,546.03 | $6,567.20 |
$-211.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:30pm ET | $21.18 | 309 | $6,546.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.32 | 309 | $6,896.88 | $6,917.92 |
+$350.72 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $22.74 | 304 | $6,912.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.91 | 304 | $7,267.12 | $7,272.08 |
+$354.16 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $22.70 | 320 | $7,264.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $22.01 | 320 | $7,043.20 | $7,051.28 |
$-220.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $22.58 | 312 | $7,046.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.73 | 312 | $7,402.20 | $7,406.96 |
+$355.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $23.50 | 315 | $7,402.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $22.68 | 315 | $7,145.77 | $7,150.23 |
$-256.73 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.18 | 308 | $7,139.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $22.40 | 308 | $6,898.43 | $6,909.22 |
$-241.01 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $22.17 | 311 | $6,894.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $23.39 | 311 | $7,274.32 | $7,288.67 |
+$379.45 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $23.54 | 309 | $7,273.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $22.83 | 309 | $7,052.93 | $7,067.73 |
$-220.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $22.91 | 308 | $7,054.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.22 | 308 | $7,459.76 | $7,472.75 |
+$405.02 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $24.81 | 301 | $7,467.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.44 | 301 | $7,958.44 | $7,963.38 |
+$490.63 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.88 | 320 | $7,961.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.02 | 320 | $7,686.40 | $7,688.18 |
$-275.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.58 | 312 | $7,668.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.87 | 312 | $8,071.44 | $8,090.66 |
+$402.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $25.55 | 316 | $8,073.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.78 | 316 | $7,830.48 | $7,847.34 |
$-243.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $25.81 | 304 | $7,846.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $24.98 | 304 | $7,592.40 | $7,593.50 |
$-253.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $24.39 | 311 | $7,583.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.64 | 311 | $7,351.73 | $7,361.49 |
$-232.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.89 | 284 | $7,352.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.00 | 284 | $7,100.00 | $7,108.73 |
$-252.76 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $25.56 | 278 | $7,105.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $24.78 | 278 | $6,888.84 | $6,891.89 |
$-216.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $26.63 | 258 | $6,870.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.17 | 258 | $7,267.34 | $7,288.69 |
+$396.80 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $29.47 | 247 | $7,277.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.52 | 247 | $7,044.44 | $7,055.28 |
$-233.41 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.45 | 247 | $7,027.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.59 | 247 | $6,815.96 | $6,844.09 |
$-211.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.55 | 267 | $6,821.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $24.77 | 267 | $6,613.59 | $6,635.83 |
$-208.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $23.23 | 285 | $6,620.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.42 | 285 | $6,961.12 | $6,976.40 |
+$340.57 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $25.42 | 274 | $6,965.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.96 | 274 | $7,387.04 | $7,398.36 |
+$421.96 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.59 | 278 | $7,392.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.74 | 278 | $7,155.72 | $7,162.06 |
$-236.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $25.94 | 276 | $7,160.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $25.15 | 276 | $6,941.40 | $6,942.64 |
$-219.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $25.07 | 276 | $6,919.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.20 | 276 | $6,679.20 | $6,702.52 |
$-240.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.43 | 274 | $6,693.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.11 | 274 | $6,332.14 | $6,340.84 |
$-361.68 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $22.64 | 280 | $6,340.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $23.78 | 280 | $6,658.40 | $6,658.98 |
+$318.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.34 | 273 | $6,644.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $23.54 | 273 | $6,426.42 | $6,441.26 |
$-217.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.35 | 275 | $6,421.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.36 | 275 | $6,149.00 | $6,169.01 |
$-272.25 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:40pm ET | $23.35 | 264 | $6,164.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.65 | 264 | $6,507.60 | $6,512.21 |
+$343.20 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $25.13 | 259 | $6,508.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $26.40 | 259 | $6,837.60 | $6,841.14 |
+$328.93 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.10 | 272 | $6,828.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $24.32 | 272 | $6,613.68 | $6,626.26 |
$-214.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.02 | 264 | $6,606.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.36 | 264 | $6,959.04 | $6,978.70 |
+$352.44 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.18 | 277 | $6,974.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $24.38 | 277 | $6,751.88 | $6,755.71 |
$-222.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $25.62 | 263 | $6,738.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.26 | 263 | $6,380.38 | $6,397.58 |
$-358.13 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $23.61 | 270 | $6,374.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $24.83 | 270 | $6,704.10 | $6,726.98 |
+$329.40 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $24.43 | 275 | $6,719.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.63 | 275 | $6,498.25 | $6,505.60 |
$-221.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.57 | 276 | $6,503.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.05 | 276 | $6,913.25 | $6,914.91 |
+$409.31 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $24.78 | 278 | $6,890.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.98 | 278 | $6,666.44 | $6,691.12 |
$-223.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.55 | 284 | $6,686.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $22.74 | 284 | $6,458.16 | $6,462.50 |
$-228.62 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $21.78 | 296 | $6,446.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $23.07 | 296 | $6,828.72 | $6,844.34 |
+$381.84 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $21.34 | 320 | $6,828.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $20.69 | 320 | $6,622.40 | $6,637.94 |
$-206.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,637.94
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,362.06
Total Return:
-33.62%