Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

34
+8.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.7 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,486.95
Current Value
$17,022.05
Period P&L
$3,535.10
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
+1.29%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$547,384.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,535.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,535.10
Gross Return
+26.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,486.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $140.33 96 $13,471.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $136.07 96 $13,063.20 $13,173.02 $-408.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.03 96 $13,058.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $142.91 96 $13,719.84 $13,833.98 +$660.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $139.34 99 $13,794.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 99 $13,291.25 $13,330.57 $-503.41
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $132.21 100 $13,221.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET $128.16 100 $12,816.50 $12,926.07 $-404.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $129.17 100 $12,917.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $135.76 100 $13,576.00 $13,585.07 +$659.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $129.87 104 $13,506.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.64 104 $14,210.81 $14,289.40 +$704.33
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $132.85 107 $14,215.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $128.65 107 $13,765.02 $13,838.93 $-450.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $130.23 106 $13,804.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $136.88 106 $14,509.28 $14,543.83 +$704.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $132.25 109 $14,415.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $127.44 109 $13,890.96 $14,019.54 $-524.29
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $128.02 109 $13,953.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 109 $13,483.30 $13,548.93 $-470.61
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $123.18 109 $13,426.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $129.75 109 $14,142.75 $14,265.06 +$716.13
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $128.16 111 $14,226.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $135.60 111 $15,051.32 $15,090.07 +$825.01
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $135.34 111 $15,022.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:40am ET $131.21 111 $14,564.86 $14,632.20 $-457.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $130.13 112 $14,574.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $137.81 112 $15,434.72 $15,492.08 +$859.88
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $134.05 115 $15,415.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $129.30 115 $14,869.50 $14,945.83 $-546.25
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:15am ET $131.28 113 $14,834.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.26 113 $15,623.38 $15,734.57 +$788.74
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.26 109 $15,615.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $151.11 109 $16,470.99 $16,589.68 +$855.11
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.98 110 $16,497.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $145.43 110 $15,997.85 $16,089.73 $-499.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $144.13 111 $15,998.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $152.53 111 $16,930.83 $17,022.05 +$932.32
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,022.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,022.05
Total Return: +70.22%
Back to Marcus Reversal