Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GOOGL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GOOGL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 24 trades in period

+32.59%
Last 6 Months Return
$27,023.96
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$20,381.00
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 59.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 58.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+6.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.9 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,381.00
Current Value
$27,023.96
Period P&L
$6,643.01
Max Drawdown
-25.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
12 / 12
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-4.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,211,256.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,643.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,643.01
Gross Return
+32.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $20,381.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $304.63 67 $20,410.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $295.38 67 $19,790.46 $20,085.14 $-619.75
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $290.96 69 $20,076.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $282.13 69 $19,466.63 $19,475.18 $-609.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $274.46 70 $19,212.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $291.00 70 $20,370.00 $20,632.63 +$1,157.45
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 71 $20,602.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 71 $22,750.17 $22,780.66 +$2,148.03
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $313.79 72 $22,592.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $329.76 72 $23,742.36 $23,930.50 +$1,149.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $332.86 71 $23,633.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET $349.54 71 $24,816.99 $25,114.43 +$1,183.93
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $349.95 71 $24,846.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 71 $26,548.32 $26,815.95 +$1,701.52
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $384.36 69 $26,521.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:55am ET $405.32 69 $27,966.74 $28,261.50 +$1,445.55
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $389.80 72 $28,065.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 72 $27,084.96 $27,280.86 $-980.64
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 74 $27,135.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $355.56 74 $26,311.59 $26,456.65 $-824.21
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $361.40 73 $26,382.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET $350.30 73 $25,571.90 $25,645.98 $-810.67
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:35am ET $345.50 74 $25,567.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $364.14 74 $26,946.36 $27,025.34 +$1,379.36
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:50am ET $368.52 73 $26,901.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $355.51 73 $25,952.23 $26,075.61 $-949.73
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET $355.24 73 $25,932.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $373.04 73 $27,231.92 $27,374.65 +$1,299.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $361.57 75 $27,117.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $346.22 75 $25,966.65 $26,223.55 $-1,151.10
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $356.61 73 $26,032.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $345.88 73 $25,249.24 $25,440.44 $-783.11
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $318.27 79 $25,143.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $334.32 79 $26,411.29 $26,708.40 +$1,267.96
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $336.27 79 $26,565.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $353.16 79 $27,899.64 $28,042.71 +$1,334.31
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $374.61 74 $27,720.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $359.70 74 $26,617.81 $26,939.75 $-1,102.96
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $358.50 75 $26,887.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $347.20 75 $26,040.00 $26,092.25 $-847.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $341.26 76 $25,935.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $329.72 76 $25,058.72 $25,215.22 $-877.03
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
27.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET $328.11 76 $24,936.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $345.36 76 $26,247.36 $26,526.22 +$1,311.00
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $344.11 77 $26,496.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $361.77 77 $27,856.29 $27,885.96 +$1,359.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $346.90 80 $27,752.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.13 80 $26,890.00 $27,023.96 $-862.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,023.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,023.96
Total Return: +170.24%
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