Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,706.76
Current Value
$13,529.54
Period P&L
$822.78
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
16.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,966.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$822.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$822.78
Gross Return
+6.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,706.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 51 $12,609.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $239.64 51 $12,221.63 $12,360.97 $-387.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $251.14 49 $12,305.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $263.83 49 $12,927.67 $12,982.78 +$621.81
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $268.78 48 $12,901.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $282.28 48 $13,549.44 $13,630.78 +$648.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:50am ET $284.98 47 $13,394.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $276.39 47 $12,990.33 $13,227.05 $-403.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $271.87 48 $13,049.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $286.30 48 $13,742.16 $13,919.45 +$692.40
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $290.10 47 $13,634.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $281.33 47 $13,222.51 $13,507.26 $-412.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $283.89 47 $13,342.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $298.32 47 $14,021.04 $14,185.70 +$678.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $293.61 48 $14,093.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $292.28 48 $14,029.44 $14,121.86 $-63.84
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $292.85 48 $14,056.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $299.59 48 $14,380.32 $14,445.38 +$323.52
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:00am ET $298.63 48 $14,334.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $288.26 48 $13,836.48 $13,947.62 $-497.76
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:40am ET $288.97 48 $13,870.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:45am ET $280.26 48 $13,452.48 $13,529.54 $-418.08
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,529.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,529.54
Total Return: +35.30%
Back to Marcus Reversal