Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.6/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 47.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 44.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,647.14
Current Value
$19,867.20
Period P&L
$2,220.07
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+8.44%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
+1.70%
Avg Hold Time
18d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$388,638.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,220.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,220.07
Gross Return
+12.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,647.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $284.70 59 $16,797.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.72 59 $18,214.48 $18,383.45 +$1,417.47
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $308.99 59 $18,230.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $302.21 59 $17,830.39 $17,983.48 $-399.97
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $297.68 60 $17,861.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $312.76 60 $18,765.30 $18,887.68 +$904.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $311.59 60 $18,695.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $327.42 60 $19,645.20 $19,837.48 +$949.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $335.92 59 $19,819.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.50 59 $19,145.50 $19,163.70 $-673.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $328.87 58 $19,074.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $347.57 58 $20,158.77 $20,248.01 +$1,084.31
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $343.26 58 $19,909.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $360.87 58 $20,930.46 $21,269.39 +$1,021.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET $359.40 59 $21,204.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $357.19 59 $21,074.21 $21,139.00 $-130.39
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $355.43 59 $20,970.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET $344.57 59 $20,329.61 $20,498.24 $-640.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $350.12 58 $20,306.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $339.24 58 $19,675.92 $19,867.20 $-631.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,867.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,867.20
Total Return: +98.67%
Back to Marcus Reversal