Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,899
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,187.35
Current Value
$8,124.77
Period P&L
$-6,062.55
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
19 / 41
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-8.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,336,709.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,062.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,062.55
Gross Return
-42.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,187.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $10.10 1,319 $13,328.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $10.75 1,319 $14,179.25 $14,187.32 +$850.76
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $10.35 1,370 $14,179.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $9.98 1,370 $13,672.60 $13,680.42 $-506.90
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $9.61 1,423 $13,678.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.31 1,423 $13,255.24 $13,257.36 $-423.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $9.58 1,383 $13,249.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $9.29 1,383 $12,848.07 $12,856.29 $-401.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $8.73 1,472 $12,850.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.24 1,472 $13,597.90 $13,603.63 +$747.34
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $8.74 1,556 $13,599.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $8.45 1,556 $13,151.31 $13,155.50 $-448.13
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $8.78 1,497 $13,151.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $8.52 1,497 $12,746.96 $12,751.31 $-404.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $7.98 1,597 $12,744.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $7.71 1,597 $12,312.87 $12,319.96 $-431.35
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $7.68 1,604 $12,318.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $7.40 1,604 $11,869.76 $11,871.00 $-448.96
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.87 1,727 $11,864.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $7.24 1,727 $12,494.85 $12,501.36 +$630.36
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $6.93 1,802 $12,496.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.66 1,802 $12,000.78 $12,005.27 $-496.09
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.33 1,896 $12,001.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $6.07 1,896 $11,507.20 $11,510.98 $-494.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $5.95 1,933 $11,506.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $5.76 1,933 $11,134.08 $11,138.88 $-372.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $6.07 1,833 $11,135.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $6.39 1,833 $11,712.69 $11,716.09 +$577.21
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $6.59 1,779 $11,714.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $6.37 1,779 $11,332.05 $11,333.43 $-382.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $5.97 1,899 $11,327.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $6.28 1,899 $11,916.23 $11,922.12 +$588.69
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $5.86 2,034 $11,919.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:50am ET $6.21 2,034 $12,631.14 $12,634.02 +$711.90
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $6.34 1,991 $12,629.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $6.03 1,991 $12,005.73 $12,010.64 $-623.38
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $5.89 2,040 $12,005.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:50am ET $5.70 2,040 $11,617.80 $11,623.04 $-387.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:40pm ET $5.60 2,075 $11,620.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.88 2,075 $12,209.30 $12,212.34 +$589.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $5.86 2,084 $12,212.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:15am ET $6.22 2,084 $12,972.90 $12,973.00 +$760.66
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $6.07 2,135 $12,970.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $6.38 2,135 $13,621.30 $13,624.18 +$651.18
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
23 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.53 2,086 $13,621.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $6.87 2,086 $14,330.82 $14,333.21 +$709.03
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $6.63 2,163 $14,329.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $6.41 2,163 $13,875.64 $13,878.98 $-454.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $5.80 2,392 $13,873.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $5.62 2,392 $13,443.04 $13,448.42 $-430.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:05am ET $5.15 2,613 $13,446.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.95 2,613 $12,947.41 $12,949.34 $-499.08
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $4.69 2,761 $12,948.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $4.48 2,761 $12,369.28 $12,370.36 $-578.98
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:10am ET $5.16 2,397 $12,368.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $5.01 2,397 $11,996.99 $11,998.83 $-371.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $5.34 2,244 $11,994.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 2,244 $11,522.94 $11,527.59 $-471.24
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $5.34 2,156 $11,523.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $5.15 2,156 $11,103.40 $11,107.17 $-420.42
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET $5.22 2,127 $11,102.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $5.53 2,127 $11,751.68 $11,755.91 +$648.74
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET $6.43 1,829 $11,751.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.79 1,829 $12,418.91 $12,423.49 +$667.58
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $6.60 1,882 $12,421.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $6.36 1,882 $11,969.52 $11,971.81 $-451.68
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $6.39 1,873 $11,968.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $6.16 1,873 $11,528.32 $11,531.66 $-440.15
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $5.93 1,944 $11,527.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $5.67 1,944 $11,030.26 $11,034.00 $-497.66
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:50am ET $5.72 1,927 $11,032.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.55 1,927 $10,685.22 $10,687.14 $-346.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET $5.55 1,925 $10,683.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.08 1,925 $9,779.00 $9,782.58 $-904.56
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $6.53 1,498 $9,781.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $6.29 1,498 $9,422.42 $9,423.06 $-359.52
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $7.09 1,328 $9,422.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $7.47 1,328 $9,926.80 $9,927.70 +$504.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET $7.35 1,350 $9,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $7.13 1,350 $9,625.36 $9,628.68 $-299.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $6.24 1,544 $9,626.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,544 $10,259.88 $10,261.72 +$633.04
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $6.34 1,618 $10,258.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET $6.71 1,618 $10,856.78 $10,860.38 +$598.66
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET $7.76 1,399 $10,856.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $7.50 1,399 $10,491.94 $10,496.22 $-364.16
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $7.50 1,399 $10,493.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $7.88 1,399 $11,024.12 $11,027.28 +$531.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:55am ET $7.03 1,568 $11,023.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $6.66 1,568 $10,450.72 $10,454.33 $-572.95
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:55am ET $6.62 1,579 $10,452.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $6.41 1,579 $10,129.28 $10,130.64 $-323.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET $6.43 1,574 $10,128.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $6.24 1,574 $9,821.76 $9,823.71 $-306.93
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $6.03 1,627 $9,818.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $5.84 1,627 $9,509.81 $9,514.58 $-309.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET $5.81 1,637 $9,510.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $5.61 1,637 $9,175.39 $9,179.81 $-334.77
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.55 1,655 $9,176.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $5.35 1,655 $8,854.25 $8,857.08 $-322.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.21 1,698 $8,854.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $5.03 1,698 $8,540.94 $8,543.46 $-313.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.18 1,650 $8,538.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $5.01 1,650 $8,267.32 $8,272.03 $-271.43
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $4.84 1,707 $8,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $4.68 1,707 $7,988.76 $7,990.38 $-281.65
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $4.52 1,767 $7,986.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.76 1,767 $8,410.92 $8,414.46 +$424.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.64 1,815 $8,412.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 1,815 $8,149.35 $8,151.28 $-263.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.68 1,739 $8,147.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $4.53 1,739 $7,868.98 $7,873.04 $-278.24
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $4.31 1,826 $7,870.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.16 1,826 $7,596.16 $7,599.14 $-273.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $4.04 1,880 $7,595.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $4.24 1,880 $7,980.60 $7,984.54 +$385.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $4.27 1,870 $7,981.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $4.14 1,870 $7,732.45 $7,735.27 $-249.27
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $4.07 1,900 $7,733.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.28 1,900 $8,122.50 $8,124.77 +$389.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,124.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,875.23
Total Return: -18.75%
Back to Marcus Reversal