Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 02:45:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.3/10
Raw Quality 2.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-15.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,485
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$851.63
Current Value
$399.98
Period P&L
$-539.15
Max Drawdown
-95.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
21 / 47
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$76,568.94
Estimated Fees
$191.42
Gross P&L
$-539.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-730.58
Gross Return
-63.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-85.79%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $851.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $76.28 11 $844.18
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2025 6:50pm ET $80.20 11 $887.57 $883.24 +$39.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2025 8:45pm ET $79.74 11 $883.24
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 7:05am ET $77.32 11 $856.43 $852.08 $-31.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 7:10am ET $76.99 11 $852.08
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $80.97 11 $896.13 $891.76 +$39.68
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 6:50pm ET $81.81 11 $891.76
🔴 SELL Jan 11, 2026 4:10pm ET $79.34 11 $864.84 $860.44 $-31.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 11, 2026 4:15pm ET $79.35 11 $860.44
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 7:55am ET $76.30 11 $827.37 $823.15 $-37.29
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 8:00am ET $76.41 11 $823.15
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $80.76 11 $870.00 $865.77 +$42.62
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $79.84 11 $865.77
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $77.42 11 $839.53 $835.26 $-30.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $77.30 11 $835.26
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:25pm ET $74.05 11 $800.15 $796.06 $-39.21
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:30pm ET $73.86 11 $796.06
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $71.60 11 $771.70 $767.78 $-28.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 8:10pm ET $71.73 11 $767.78
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 5:55pm ET $75.46 11 $807.70 $803.77 +$35.99
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 7:35pm ET $75.10 11 $803.77
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 6:45pm ET $72.40 11 $774.83 $770.88 $-32.88
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 6:50pm ET $72.38 11 $770.88
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $69.91 11 $744.57 $740.79 $-30.10
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $69.46 11 $740.79
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $67.35 11 $718.28 $714.64 $-26.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $67.65 11 $714.64
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $65.28 11 $689.60 $686.09 $-28.55
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:35am ET $67.46 10 $686.09
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $65.07 10 $661.78 $658.41 $-27.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $64.93 10 $658.41
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 3:30am ET $62.98 10 $638.64 $635.40 $-23.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 3:35am ET $62.81 10 $635.40
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $60.05 10 $607.48 $604.37 $-31.03
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET $60.07 10 $604.37
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.99 10 $583.44 $580.47 $-23.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $58.22 10 $580.47
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $61.34 10 $611.60 $608.62 +$28.15
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 5:05pm ET $59.59 10 $608.62
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $57.74 10 $589.72 $586.73 $-21.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 4:45pm ET $58.16 10 $586.73
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 6:10am ET $56.28 10 $567.76 $564.88 $-21.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:15am ET $56.31 10 $564.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 10 $547.52 $544.74 $-20.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $53.92 10 $544.74
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $52.17 10 $527.03 $524.35 $-20.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 10 $524.35
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 10 $483.46 $480.94 $-43.41
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 10 $480.94
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $48.66 10 $506.77 $504.30 +$23.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:05pm ET $49.73 10 $504.30
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 10 $531.78 $529.19 +$24.89
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $50.92 10 $529.19
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:45am ET $53.52 10 $556.22 $553.50 +$24.31
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $54.91 10 $553.50
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $53.21 10 $536.37 $533.64 $-19.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET $53.15 10 $533.64
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $53.76 10 $539.72 $537.03 +$3.39
(+1.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $53.66 10 $537.03
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET $52.00 10 $520.37 $520.37 $-19.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 6:05pm ET $55.04 9 $520.37
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $53.28 9 $503.71 $503.71 $-19.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $53.37 9 $503.71
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $51.66 9 $487.57 $487.57 $-18.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:00am ET $51.86 9 $487.57
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $54.50 9 $512.39 $512.39 +$22.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $54.48 9 $512.39
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:05pm ET $52.72 9 $495.84 $495.84 $-19.07
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $51.77 10 $495.84
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $54.50 10 $521.99 $521.99 +$23.60
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $57.83 9 $521.99
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:15pm ET $56.08 9 $506.19 $506.19 $-18.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30pm ET $56.18 9 $506.19
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 6:40am ET $54.48 9 $490.87 $490.87 $-17.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 6:45am ET $54.50 9 $490.87
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $52.65 9 $474.21 $474.21 $-19.08
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:45am ET $52.98 9 $474.21
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $55.99 9 $501.15 $501.15 +$24.50
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:45am ET $55.94 9 $501.15
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 8:55am ET $54.15 9 $485.11 $485.11 $-18.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:05am ET $53.93 9 $485.11
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.27 9 $470.18 $470.18 $-17.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $52.40 9 $470.18
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $55.04 9 $493.87 $493.87 +$21.28
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $54.45 9 $493.87
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:55am ET $57.23 9 $519.09 $519.09 +$22.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 6:30am ET $57.35 9 $519.09
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET $55.60 9 $503.25 $503.25 $-18.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:45am ET $55.94 9 $501.15
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:10am ET $54.22 9 $485.74 $487.84 $-17.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 4:15am ET $54.27 9 $487.84
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $52.44 9 $471.39 $471.39 $-18.85
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.6d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:55pm ET $52.79 9 $471.39
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $55.48 9 $495.41 $495.41 +$21.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:55pm ET $55.10 9 $495.41
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 7:35pm ET $53.42 9 $480.30 $480.30 $-17.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 7:45pm ET $53.45 9 $480.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $56.19 9 $504.92 $504.92 +$22.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $55.99 9 $504.92
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:20pm ET $54.28 9 $489.50 $489.50 $-17.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:25pm ET $54.16 9 $489.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $56.87 9 $513.99 $513.99 +$21.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 7:10am ET $56.94 9 $513.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $55.21 9 $498.37 $498.37 $-18.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $55.18 9 $498.37
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.94 9 $523.30 $523.30 +$22.37
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
54 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.46 9 $523.30
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:25am ET $56.66 9 $507.19 $507.19 $-18.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
55 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:30am ET $56.60 9 $507.19
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $54.52 9 $488.55 $488.55 $-21.13
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
56 🟢 BUY May 17, 2026 7:50pm ET $54.13 9 $488.55
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 7:50pm ET $52.45 9 $473.39 $473.39 $-17.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
57 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 8:00pm ET $52.62 9 $473.39
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55pm ET $50.96 9 $458.46 $458.46 $-17.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
58 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:00am ET $50.92 9 $458.46
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:05am ET $49.33 9 $444.14 $444.14 $-16.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:10am ET $49.46 9 $444.14
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $47.80 9 $429.23 $429.23 $-17.09
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $47.66 9 $429.23
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $45.84 9 $412.84 $412.84 $-18.50
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $45.86 9 $412.84
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $44.17 9 $397.63 $397.63 $-17.24
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $44.84 9 $397.63
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $43.07 9 $381.93 $381.93 $-17.64
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $43.21 9 $381.93
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $41.57 9 $367.43 $367.43 $-16.37
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $41.61 9 $367.43
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 5:25pm ET $43.71 9 $385.97 $385.97 +$16.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 6:20pm ET $43.33 9 $385.97
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.94 9 $373.59 $373.59 $-14.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $41.95 9 $373.59
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2026 11:40am ET $44.08 9 $392.56 $392.56 +$17.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $43.81 9 $392.56
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 6:35am ET $46.05 9 $412.63 $412.63 +$18.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 8:30am ET $45.65 9 $412.63
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:15am ET $44.25 9 $399.98 $399.98 $-14.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $399.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,600.02
Total Return: -96.00%
Back to Marcus Reversal