Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 37.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

65
+32.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,035.30
Current Value
$19,748.39
Period P&L
$3,713.10
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
13 / 14
Best Trade
+11.40%
Worst Trade
-8.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$850,297.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,713.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,713.10
Gross Return
+23.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,035.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET $594.66 26 $15,461.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $576.35 26 $14,985.10 $15,440.41 $-476.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $537.92 28 $15,061.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $521.14 28 $14,591.78 $14,970.43 $-469.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $534.79 27 $14,439.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $563.76 27 $15,221.52 $15,752.49 +$782.06
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $585.70 26 $15,228.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $565.70 26 $14,708.07 $15,232.36 $-520.13
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $575.03 26 $14,950.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 26 $15,756.00 $16,037.45 +$805.09
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $632.77 25 $15,819.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET $664.47 25 $16,611.63 $16,829.83 +$792.38
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $673.93 24 $16,174.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $617.33 24 $14,815.83 $15,471.34 $-1,358.49
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $612.09 25 $15,302.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $630.15 25 $15,753.75 $15,922.84 +$451.50
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $599.38 26 $15,583.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $634.15 26 $16,487.90 $16,826.99 +$904.15
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $616.22 27 $16,638.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $596.20 27 $16,097.40 $16,286.32 $-540.67
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $585.35 27 $15,804.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $565.00 27 $15,255.00 $15,736.87 $-549.45
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $563.78 27 $15,222.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $592.34 27 $15,993.18 $16,507.99 +$771.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $595.35 27 $16,074.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $577.48 27 $15,591.96 $16,025.50 $-482.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $575.06 27 $15,526.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $556.60 27 $15,028.20 $15,527.08 $-498.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $544.31 28 $15,240.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $606.38 28 $16,978.64 $17,265.11 +$1,738.03
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $607.26 28 $17,003.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $588.33 28 $16,473.24 $16,735.07 $-530.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:50am ET $607.76 27 $16,409.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $584.70 27 $15,786.90 $16,112.45 $-622.62
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $668.09 24 $16,034.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $641.72 24 $15,401.40 $15,479.57 $-632.88
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $648.90 23 $14,924.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET $629.14 23 $14,470.22 $15,025.09 $-454.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $602.83 24 $14,467.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $584.45 24 $14,026.80 $14,583.96 $-441.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $591.03 24 $14,184.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:05am ET $573.29 24 $13,758.96 $14,158.08 $-425.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $550.77 25 $13,769.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $589.35 25 $14,733.87 $15,122.83 +$964.75
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $574.78 26 $14,944.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $605.00 26 $15,730.00 $15,908.55 +$785.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $609.85 26 $15,856.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $650.75 26 $16,919.50 $16,971.82 +$1,063.27
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $651.50 26 $16,939.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $686.82 26 $17,857.32 $17,890.14 +$918.32
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET $708.82 25 $17,720.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $746.09 25 $18,652.25 $18,822.02 +$931.88
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $738.09 25 $18,452.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $775.14 25 $19,378.50 $19,748.39 +$926.37
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,748.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,748.39
Total Return: +97.48%
Back to Marcus Reversal