Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 12:13:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,563
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,684.02
Current Value
$8,471.50
Period P&L
$-212.52
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
16.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,843.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-212.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-212.52
Gross Return
-2.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,684.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET $25.72 344 $8,847.71
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:35pm ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08 $8,596.29 $-266.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:40am ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $26.23 344 $9,021.40 $9,036.61 +$440.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $25.56 353 $9,020.92
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $26.86 353 $9,481.16 $9,496.86 +$460.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 352 $9,484.64
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.07 352 $9,528.64 $9,540.86 +$44.00
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $27.33 349 $9,537.68
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $26.45 349 $9,231.05 $9,234.23 $-306.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $27.23 339 $9,230.97
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET $26.36 339 $8,937.73 $8,941.00 $-293.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $26.41 338 $8,924.89
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET $27.73 338 $9,372.74 $9,388.85 +$447.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $27.46 341 $9,363.86
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $26.62 341 $9,077.39 $9,102.38 $-286.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $26.75 340 $9,093.30
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $25.89 340 $8,800.90 $8,809.98 $-292.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:30am ET $25.94 339 $8,792.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $25.74 339 $8,724.17 $8,741.23 $-68.75
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:35am ET $26.25 333 $8,739.59
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $25.43 333 $8,469.85 $8,471.50 $-269.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,471.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,528.50
Total Return: -15.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal