PLTR Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 42 trades in period
-2.45%
Last 6 Months Return
$58,097.02
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$59,557.64
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
69.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 69.0
30-Day Momentum
32
+10.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.5
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$59,557.64
Current Value
$58,097.02
Period P&L
$-1,460.60
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
17 /
25
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,200,946.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,460.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,460.60
Gross Return
-2.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $59,557.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $154.93 | 375 | $58,098.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.21 | 375 | $56,328.75 | $56,387.26 |
$-1,769.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.28 | 390 | $56,269.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $139.74 | 390 | $54,498.60 | $54,616.66 |
$-1,770.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.95 | 371 | $54,518.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 371 | $52,593.00 | $52,691.21 |
$-1,925.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.31 | 355 | $52,650.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $143.82 | 355 | $51,056.10 | $51,097.23 |
$-1,593.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $129.52 | 394 | $51,030.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $125.47 | 394 | $49,435.18 | $49,501.53 |
$-1,595.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $132.83 | 372 | $49,412.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $139.48 | 372 | $51,884.74 | $51,973.51 |
+$2,471.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $142.44 | 364 | $51,848.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $149.85 | 364 | $54,545.40 | $54,670.75 |
+$2,697.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $144.63 | 378 | $54,670.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $139.86 | 378 | $52,867.08 | $52,867.69 |
$-1,803.06 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $142.90 | 369 | $52,730.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 369 | $50,243.04 | $50,380.63 |
$-2,487.06 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $138.85 | 362 | $50,265.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.80 | 362 | $53,503.56 | $53,618.68 |
+$3,238.05 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 383 | $53,591.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $135.71 | 383 | $51,975.02 | $52,002.42 |
$-1,616.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.08 | 390 | $51,901.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $140.26 | 390 | $54,701.40 | $54,802.62 |
+$2,800.20 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $135.15 | 405 | $54,735.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $131.08 | 405 | $53,085.42 | $53,152.25 |
$-1,650.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $133.24 | 398 | $53,031.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $140.10 | 398 | $55,759.80 | $55,880.54 |
+$2,728.29 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $161.75 | 345 | $55,803.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.31 | 345 | $53,581.95 | $53,658.74 |
$-2,221.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.18 | 364 | $53,573.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $142.74 | 364 | $51,957.36 | $52,042.58 |
$-1,616.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $141.24 | 368 | $51,978.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $136.96 | 368 | $50,401.28 | $50,465.70 |
$-1,576.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $136.02 | 371 | $50,465.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $131.66 | 371 | $48,845.90 | $48,846.32 |
$-1,619.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $131.30 | 372 | $48,843.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $127.03 | 372 | $47,255.16 | $47,257.88 |
$-1,588.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $134.13 | 352 | $47,213.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $129.76 | 352 | $45,675.52 | $45,719.67 |
$-1,538.21 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $133.20 | 343 | $45,687.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.27 | 343 | $43,998.32 | $44,030.36 |
$-1,689.31 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.36 | 351 | $43,999.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $121.42 | 351 | $42,618.42 | $42,649.17 |
$-1,381.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $118.59 | 359 | $42,573.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.39 | 359 | $41,066.01 | $41,141.37 |
$-1,507.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.85 | 367 | $41,048.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $108.25 | 367 | $39,729.58 | $39,822.00 |
$-1,319.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $112.43 | 354 | $39,800.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $118.36 | 354 | $41,899.44 | $41,921.22 |
+$2,099.22 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $117.36 | 357 | $41,899.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $123.58 | 357 | $44,119.84 | $44,141.76 |
+$2,220.54 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.07 | 347 | $44,093.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $133.63 | 347 | $46,369.61 | $46,418.08 |
+$2,276.32 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $137.44 | 337 | $46,317.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.23 | 337 | $43,887.51 | $43,988.31 |
$-2,429.77 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $127.29 | 345 | $43,915.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $133.68 | 345 | $46,119.60 | $46,192.86 |
+$2,204.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $130.65 | 353 | $46,119.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $126.58 | 353 | $44,682.74 | $44,756.15 |
$-1,436.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $121.84 | 367 | $44,715.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $128.26 | 367 | $47,071.42 | $47,112.29 |
+$2,356.14 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $120.32 | 391 | $47,043.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $126.61 | 391 | $49,504.51 | $49,573.63 |
+$2,461.34 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $120.02 | 413 | $49,568.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.78 | 413 | $52,360.14 | $52,365.47 |
+$2,791.84 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $160.86 | 325 | $52,279.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.46 | 325 | $49,872.88 | $49,959.10 |
$-2,406.37 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $170.18 | 293 | $49,862.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $179.24 | 293 | $52,516.59 | $52,612.95 |
+$2,653.85 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $173.76 | 302 | $52,475.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.36 | 302 | $55,676.72 | $55,814.15 |
+$3,201.20 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $185.48 | 300 | $55,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.42 | 300 | $52,926.00 | $53,096.15 |
$-2,718.00 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $182.30 | 291 | $53,049.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $176.62 | 291 | $51,394.97 | $51,441.82 |
$-1,654.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $171.82 | 299 | $51,374.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $165.88 | 299 | $49,598.12 | $49,665.76 |
$-1,776.06 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $165.51 | 300 | $49,653.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:35pm ET | $174.01 | 300 | $52,201.50 | $52,214.26 |
+$2,548.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $173.54 | 300 | $52,062.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.30 | 300 | $54,689.76 | $54,842.02 |
+$2,627.76 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $182.30 | 300 | $54,690.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $193.15 | 300 | $57,945.00 | $58,097.02 |
+$3,255.00 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$58,097.02
Net Profit/Loss:
+$48,097.02
Total Return:
+480.97%