SLV Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
-5.18%
Last 6 Months Return
$29,065.35
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$30,651.65
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
64
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
32.4/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
65.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 64.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-64 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$30,651.65
Current Value
$29,065.35
Period P&L
$-1,586.28
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 /
20
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-8.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,231,874.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,586.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,586.28
Gross Return
-5.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $30,651.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $61.72 | 496 | $30,613.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 496 | $32,805.44 | $32,843.95 |
+$2,192.32 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 529 | $32,819.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 529 | $34,866.39 | $34,890.65 |
+$2,046.70 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $67.71 | 515 | $34,870.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 515 | $32,765.85 | $32,785.85 |
$-2,104.80 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.36 | 501 | $32,742.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.81 | 501 | $34,974.81 | $35,017.80 |
+$2,231.95 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $68.50 | 511 | $35,000.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $71.94 | 511 | $36,763.89 | $36,780.75 |
+$1,762.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $71.61 | 513 | $36,735.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $69.25 | 513 | $35,525.25 | $35,570.07 |
$-1,210.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $70.35 | 505 | $35,524.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $68.04 | 505 | $34,360.25 | $34,406.09 |
$-1,163.98 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $68.93 | 499 | $34,393.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 499 | $32,774.32 | $32,786.44 |
$-1,619.65 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.85 | 505 | $32,749.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $68.24 | 505 | $34,461.25 | $34,498.44 |
+$1,712.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.83 | 516 | $34,484.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $70.23 | 516 | $36,238.58 | $36,252.73 |
+$1,754.29 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.41 | 493 | $36,191.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.14 | 493 | $38,030.02 | $38,091.62 |
+$1,838.89 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.61 | 497 | $38,077.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $80.49 | 497 | $40,003.53 | $40,017.50 |
+$1,925.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $76.51 | 523 | $40,014.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.71 | 523 | $36,460.42 | $36,463.09 |
$-3,554.41 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $69.08 | 527 | $36,405.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.54 | 527 | $35,066.58 | $35,124.51 |
$-1,338.58 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $68.42 | 513 | $35,099.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.25 | 513 | $33,988.81 | $34,013.35 |
$-1,111.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $68.05 | 499 | $33,956.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.10 | 499 | $31,985.90 | $32,042.30 |
$-1,971.05 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $61.62 | 519 | $31,980.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.32 | 519 | $30,785.73 | $30,847.25 |
$-1,195.05 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $58.62 | 526 | $30,834.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $61.63 | 526 | $32,414.75 | $32,427.88 |
+$1,580.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $63.16 | 513 | $32,402.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.89 | 513 | $31,236.57 | $31,261.68 |
$-1,166.20 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.88 | 530 | $31,209.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.09 | 530 | $29,727.70 | $29,780.33 |
$-1,481.35 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.12 | 560 | $29,747.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $51.04 | 560 | $28,582.40 | $28,615.53 |
$-1,164.80 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $52.43 | 545 | $28,574.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $55.15 | 545 | $30,057.51 | $30,098.69 |
+$1,483.16 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $55.38 | 543 | $30,071.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.76 | 543 | $28,648.68 | $28,676.03 |
$-1,422.66 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $54.26 | 528 | $28,649.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $52.58 | 528 | $27,762.24 | $27,788.46 |
$-887.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $53.13 | 522 | $27,736.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $51.53 | 522 | $26,898.66 | $26,950.65 |
$-837.81 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.62 | 532 | $26,929.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.18 | 532 | $28,291.76 | $28,312.62 |
+$1,361.97 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.52 | 519 | $28,295.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.16 | 519 | $27,071.04 | $27,087.78 |
$-1,224.84 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $52.99 | 511 | $27,077.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.35 | 511 | $26,242.40 | $26,252.29 |
$-835.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $51.38 | 510 | $26,203.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.01 | 510 | $27,547.65 | $27,596.09 |
+$1,343.80 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $55.94 | 493 | $27,576.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.78 | 493 | $28,978.54 | $28,997.98 |
+$1,401.89 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $58.52 | 495 | $28,966.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $61.54 | 495 | $30,460.96 | $30,492.43 |
+$1,494.45 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $62.81 | 485 | $30,462.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $60.62 | 485 | $29,402.01 | $29,431.59 |
$-1,060.84 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.35 | 504 | $29,408.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $61.41 | 504 | $30,950.64 | $30,973.83 |
+$1,542.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.43 | 530 | $30,967.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.54 | 530 | $29,966.25 | $29,972.18 |
$-1,001.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $58.97 | 508 | $29,954.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.18 | 508 | $29,047.39 | $29,065.35 |
$-906.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$29,065.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$19,065.35
Total Return:
+190.65%